Aalesund arrive at the Intility Arena desperate for points to escape the relegation zone, while Valerenga look to bridge the four-point gap to the European places.
Aalesund sit 15th in the table with 14 games remaining to save their season. While they are without a win in their last five, they have become difficult to beat, recording three draws in that period against Ham-Kam, Viking, and Molde. Their last outing was a 1-1 draw away at Ham-Kam, showing a defensive stability that was missing during their heavier defeats earlier in the summer.
Valerenga occupy 10th place and remain within touching distance of the top four, but their momentum has stalled. They have suffered three defeats in their last five matches, including a 1-2 loss to Bodo/Glimt and a 0-3 humbling by Ham-Kam. Despite a massive 6-1 win over Aalesund in the reverse fixture, their recent 0-4 loss to Tromso suggests a vulnerability that the visitors will look to target.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Valerenga are the stronger side — 86 rating points clear of Aalesund.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Aalesund 21 games, Valerenga 21 games.
Eliteserien (Norway) standings · both teams highlighted in context.