Winlytics.AI
Full time
Superliga (Denmark)
·
Aarhus
Aarhus
11th · 5 pts·LLDLD
vs
Brondby
Brondby
5th · 13 pts·WLLLL
The story

Aarhus begin title defence against historic rivals Brondby

The Superliga season opens with a heavyweight clash as reigning champions Aarhus host 11-time winners Brondby at the Vejlby Stadium.

Match news & current form

Aarhus enter the new campaign as defending champions for the first time in 40 years, having finished last season seven points clear at the summit. However, their preparation has been marred by a heavy 4-1 home defeat to Lech Poznan in Champions League qualifying on Tuesday, highlighting significant defensive concerns following the summer departures of Felix Beijmo and Henrik Dalsgaard.

Brondby occupy fourth place as the season begins, still searching for their first league title since 2020-21. While they suffered a 2-1 loss to Hibernian in their final pre-season outing, their attacking threat is evident, having netted 16 goals across four summer friendlies, including an 8-1 demolition of Hvidovre.

Head-to-head history

Aarhus have established a clear psychological edge in this fixture, winning six of the last 11 meetings while Brondby have managed just three victories in that period. The most recent encounter in May saw Aarhus secure a 2-0 away win, extending Brondby's winless run against the hosts to four matches.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Aarhus are unbeaten in their last four matches against Brondby.
  • Three of the previous four head-to-head meetings have seen two or fewer goals scored.
  • Brondby finished last season 22 points behind Aarhus in the Superliga table.
  • Aarhus conceded six goals across their last three matches, including friendlies.
Key players & missing men

Aarhus are facing a minor crisis in defence; following the loss of key personnel in the transfer window, Rasmus Carstensen is confirmed as an absentee through injury. Brondby, by contrast, arrive with a clean bill of health and are expected to name a full-strength side as they look to exploit the hosts' restructured backline.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Aarhus vs Brondby — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Aarhus vs Brondby and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Aarhus1.6
1.5Brondby
Season average total: 3.13 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Aarhus winDrawBrondby win
Market call
Double chance : Aarhus or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Aarhus
1583
Brondby
1530

Aarhus are the stronger side — 53 rating points clear of Brondby.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

AarhusAarhusBrondbyBrondby
1.22Goals scored / game1.33
1.89Goals conceded / game1.67
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Aarhus 9 games, Brondby 9 games.

AarhusAarhusBrondbyBrondby
0%Games with a clean sheet22%
22%Games they failed to score22%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Aarhus
1–1
Brondby
Brondby
0–2
Aarhus
Aarhus
0–0
Brondby
Brondby
3–3
Aarhus
Aarhus
1–0
Brondby
Form check

Their recent form.

Aarhus
Aarhus
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
AC HorsensvAarhus
2–2
D
FC NordsjaellandvAarhus
2–0
L
AarhusvSilkeborg
2–2
D
AarhusvFC Midtjylland
0–2
L
Randers FCvAarhus
2–1
L
Brondby
Brondby
Losing form badly
Last 5
1W · 0D · 4L
BrondbyvFC Copenhagen
0–1
L
FC MidtjyllandvBrondby
4–1
L
BrondbyvRanders FC
0–3
L
FC NordsjaellandvBrondby
3–1
L
BrondbyvSilkeborg
3–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Superliga (Denmark) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
9
8
0
1
+15
24
2
FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
9
5
4
0
+8
19
3
ViborgViborg
9
5
2
2
+7
17
4
FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland
9
5
2
2
+4
17
5
BrondbyBrondby
9
4
1
4
-3
13
6
AC HorsensAC Horsens
9
3
2
4
-1
11
7
SilkeborgSilkeborg
9
2
4
3
+0
10
8
Randers FCRanders FC
9
3
1
5
-3
10
9
OdenseOdense
9
2
3
4
-6
9
10
LyngbyLyngby
9
1
4
4
-6
7
11
AarhusAarhus
9
0
5
4
-6
5
12
SonderjyskeSonderjyske
9
1
2
6
-9
5