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Superliga (Denmark)
·
Aarhus
Aarhus
11th · 5 pts·LLDLD
vs
Odense
Odense
9th · 9 pts·DDLWD
The story

Provincial Rivals Clash as AGF Seek First Victory

Aarhus and Odense meet at Ceres Park with both sides desperate to bridge the gap to the European places in the early Superliga standings.

Match news & current form

Aarhus enter this fixture 10th in the table, currently two points adrift of the European spots. Uwe Rösler’s side are looking to bounce back from a 2-1 defeat to Viborg last time out, having previously secured draws against Lyngby and Brondby. Despite the winless start to the season, Rösler’s men have shown resilience, scoring two or more goals in their most recent outings.

Odense sit one place above their hosts in 9th, just one point away from the European places. Their form has been erratic, following up a 1-0 win over Sonderjyske with consecutive defeats to Silkeborg and AC Horsens. Managerial pressure is mounting as the side struggles for offensive rhythm, failing to score more than once in any of their last five league matches.

Head-to-head history

AGF Aarhus have held the upper hand in this provincial rivalry lately, claiming six victories to Odense's two across their last ten meetings. The most significant recent marker was a dominant 5-1 victory for Aarhus in August 2025, underlining the gap between the two sides when AGF find their clinical edge.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Aarhus have seen both teams score in 16 of their last 19 Superliga fixtures.
  • Odense have scored under 1.5 goals in five consecutive league matches.
  • AGF have netted two or more goals in 100% of their last three matches.
  • The hosts have won 83% of their last six home Superliga games against similar opposition.
Key players & missing men

Tomas Oli Kristjansson has emerged as a potential game-changer for Aarhus, having recently netted as an impact sub. For Odense, the lack of a standout goalscorer is a concern given their low-scoring run. Both squads are currently reporting no fresh injury absences, allowing both managers to field their strongest available XIs.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Aarhus vs Odense and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Aarhus1.2
1.4Odense
Season average total: 2.60 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Aarhus winDrawOdense win
Market call
Double chance : Aarhus or Draw
Goals forecast
Under 3.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Aarhus
1583
Odense
1431

Aarhus are the stronger side — 152 rating points clear of Odense.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

AarhusAarhusOdenseOdense
1.22Goals scored / game0.89
1.89Goals conceded / game1.56
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Aarhus 9 games, Odense 9 games.

AarhusAarhusOdenseOdense
0%Games with a clean sheet11%
22%Games they failed to score33%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Aarhus
2–2
Odense
Aarhus
2–1
Odense
Aarhus
3–1
Odense
Odense
1–0
Aarhus
Odense
1–5
Aarhus
Form check

Their recent form.

Aarhus
Aarhus
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
AC HorsensvAarhus
2–2
D
FC NordsjaellandvAarhus
2–0
L
AarhusvSilkeborg
2–2
D
AarhusvFC Midtjylland
0–2
L
Randers FCvAarhus
2–1
L
Odense
Odense
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 3D · 1L
OdensevFC Midtjylland
1–1
D
Randers FCvOdense
1–2
W
OdensevFC Copenhagen
0–5
L
LyngbyvOdense
1–1
D
AarhusvOdense
2–2
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Superliga (Denmark) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
9
8
0
1
+15
24
2
FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
9
5
4
0
+8
19
3
ViborgViborg
9
5
2
2
+7
17
4
FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland
9
5
2
2
+4
17
5
BrondbyBrondby
9
4
1
4
-3
13
6
AC HorsensAC Horsens
9
3
2
4
-1
11
7
SilkeborgSilkeborg
9
2
4
3
+0
10
8
Randers FCRanders FC
9
3
1
5
-3
10
9
OdenseOdense
9
2
3
4
-6
9
10
LyngbyLyngby
9
1
4
4
-6
7
11
AarhusAarhus
9
0
5
4
-6
5
12
SonderjyskeSonderjyske
9
1
2
6
-9
5