Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 18h
Segunda División (Spain)
·
AD Ceuta FC
AD Ceuta FC
21st · 5 pts·WDLLL
vs
—
Sporting Gijon
Sporting Gijon
8th · 19 pts·LWWWL
The story

AD Ceuta host Sporting Gijon after heavy away defeats

Sporting Gijon visit the Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube seeking an immediate response to a heavy defeat, while AD Ceuta aim to turn their early-season fortunes around on home soil.

Match news & current form

AD Ceuta have had a slow start to the campaign, sitting 21st on five points after 11 games. They enter this fixture looking to stop a slide after suffering a 3-1 away loss at Cadiz last time out, leaving them with just one win and one draw from their last five matches.

Sporting Gijon have made a positive opening to the season, occupying eighth place on 19 points after 11 fixtures. However, their momentum took a sharp hit last week when they were comprehensively beaten 4-0 away at Castellon, snapping a run of three consecutive league victories.

Head-to-head history

The sides split their two encounters last season. Sporting Gijon claimed a 1-0 away victory at Ceuta in August 2025, but AD Ceuta reversed the outcome in the reverse fixture with a 2-1 win at El Molinon in May 2026.

Hot stats & streaks
  • AD Ceuta have suffered three consecutive home defeats by 2-1 scorelines in their recent run.
  • Sporting Gijon have failed to score in two of their last three away trips, losing both to nil.
  • Neither of the previous two meetings between these two clubs ended in a draw.
Key players & missing men

Neither club has reported any fresh injury concerns or suspensions heading into Sunday's contest, leaving both managers with full squads to select from at the Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.

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Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
AD Ceuta FC1.2
–
1.3Sporting Gijon
Season average total: 2.54 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
AD Ceuta FC winDrawSporting Gijon win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Sporting Gijon
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

AD Ceuta FC
1455
Sporting Gijon
1500

Sporting Gijon are the stronger side — 45 rating points clear of AD Ceuta FC.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FCSporting GijonSporting Gijon
0.91Goals scored / game1.00
2.27Goals conceded / game1.18
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — AD Ceuta FC 11 games, Sporting Gijon 11 games.

AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FCSporting GijonSporting Gijon
0%Games with a clean sheet36%
27%Games they failed to score45%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Sporting Gijon
1–2
AD Ceuta FC
AD Ceuta FC
0–1
Sporting Gijon
Form check

Their recent form.

AD Ceuta FC
AD Ceuta FC
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
CadizvAD Ceuta FC
3–1
L
AD Ceuta FCvOviedo
1–2
L
AD Ceuta FCvSabadell
1–2
L
CastellónvAD Ceuta FC
1–1
D
AD Ceuta FCvReal Sociedad II
3–1
W
Sporting Gijon
Sporting Gijon
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
CastellónvSporting Gijon
4–0
L
Sporting GijonvAlbacete
2–1
W
CadizvSporting Gijon
0–1
W
Sporting GijonvCelta de Vigo II
3–2
W
OviedovSporting Gijon
2–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Segunda División (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
CastellónCastellón
11
8
2
1
+18
26
2
AlmeriaAlmeria
11
8
1
2
+13
25
3
EibarEibar
11
7
1
3
+7
22
4
GironaGirona
11
6
3
2
+12
21
5
Granada CFGranada CF
11
6
2
3
+4
20
6
BurgosBurgos
11
6
2
3
+4
20
7
MallorcaMallorca
11
5
4
2
+7
19
8
Sporting GijonSporting Gijon
11
6
1
4
-2
19
9
OviedoOviedo
11
5
3
3
+3
18
10
SabadellSabadell
11
4
5
2
+2
17
11
CordobaCordoba
11
5
0
6
-3
15
12
TenerifeTenerife
11
3
5
3
-2
14
13
EldenseEldense
11
4
2
5
-2
14
14
Las PalmasLas Palmas
11
4
2
5
-5
14
15
ValladolidValladolid
11
3
3
5
+0
12
16
Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II
11
3
3
5
-5
12
17
LeganesLeganes
11
3
3
5
-9
12
18
CadizCadiz
11
2
4
5
+0
10
19
FC AndorraFC Andorra
11
3
1
7
-5
10
20
Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II
11
2
2
7
-8
8
21
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
11
1
2
8
-15
5
22
AlbaceteAlbacete
11
1
1
9
-14
4