Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 19h
Premier League (Russia)
·
Akhmat
Akhmat
10th · 10 pts·WDDWL
vs
—
Baltika
Baltika
8th · 11 pts·DWLDL
The story

Akhmat host Baltika separated by just one point

Separated by a single point after nine games, Akhmat and Baltika meet in Grozny looking to gain ground in the middle of the table.

Match news & current form

Akhmat sit 10th with 10 points from their opening nine matches. They had enjoyed a solid stretch of form, picking up two wins and two draws across four outings—including a 3-2 victory over Dinamo Makhachkala and a 4-1 thumping of FC Rostov—before falling 2-0 away to Akron in their last game.

Baltika occupy 8th place with 11 points after nine fixtures. Their recent outings have produced volatile scorelines, managing one victory in their last five alongside a 2-2 draw with Fakel and a narrow 3-2 home defeat against Zenit last time out.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between these teams have regularly delivered goals. Baltika have held the edge across the past five recorded clashes, claiming wins by 4-1, 7-1, and 2-0, before the two most recent encounters finished level in a 2-2 draw in February 2026 and a 1-1 stalemate in April 2026.

Hot stats & streaks
  • All five of the last head-to-head meetings between these clubs have featured over 1.5 goals.
  • Four of Baltika's last five matches in all competitions have produced at least two goals, including five-goal affairs against Zenit and Fakel.
  • Akhmat's last three home games have yielded high scores, featuring a 4-1 win over FC Rostov, a 3-3 draw with Krylia Sovetov, and a 3-2 win against Dinamo Makhachkala.
Key players & missing men

Both sides have confirmed absences to contend with. Akhmat will have to cope without forward G. Melkadze, while Baltika travel without defender A. Filin.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Akhmat1.9
–
2.0Baltika
Season average total: 3.88 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Akhmat winDrawBaltika win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Baltika
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Akhmat
1407
Baltika
1485

Baltika are the stronger side — 78 rating points clear of Akhmat.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

AkhmatAkhmatBaltikaBaltika
1.44Goals scored / game1.56
1.44Goals conceded / game1.33
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Akhmat 9 games, Baltika 9 games.

AkhmatAkhmatBaltikaBaltika
11%Games with a clean sheet22%
33%Games they failed to score11%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Akhmat
1–1
Baltika
Baltika
2–2
Akhmat
Baltika
2–0
Akhmat
Akhmat Grozny
1–7
Baltika
Baltika
4–1
Akhmat Grozny
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Akhmat
G. Melkadze
Out · Red Card
Baltika
A. Filin
Out · Knee Injury
Form check

Their recent form.

Akhmat
Akhmat
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
AkronvAkhmat
2–0
L
AkhmatvDinamo Makhachkala
3–2
W
RubinvAkhmat
1–1
D
AkhmatvKrylia Sovetov
3–3
D
AkhmatvFC Rostov
4–1
W
Baltika
Baltika
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
BaltikavZenit
2–3
L
FakelvBaltika
2–2
D
BaltikavLokomotiv
0–1
L
Rodina MoskvavBaltika
0–3
W
BaltikavRubin
1–1
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (Russia) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
9
6
3
0
+7
21
2
DynamoDynamo
9
6
1
2
+6
19
3
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
9
5
4
0
+6
19
4
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
9
6
1
2
+9
19
5
ZenitZenit
9
6
0
3
+10
18
6
RubinRubin
9
2
6
1
+1
12
7
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
9
4
0
5
-1
12
8
BaltikaBaltika
9
3
2
4
+2
11
9
Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
9
2
5
2
-1
11
10
AkhmatAkhmat
9
2
4
3
+0
10
11
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
9
1
6
2
-3
9
12
FC RostovFC Rostov
9
2
2
5
-7
8
13
AkronAkron
9
1
5
3
-7
8
14
LokomotivLokomotiv
9
1
4
4
-3
7
15
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
9
1
2
6
-12
5
16
FakelFakel
9
0
3
6
-7
3