Alaves defend unbeaten start against high-scoring Yellow Submarine
Alaves look to cement their early continental standing as Villarreal search for defensive stability following back-to-back high-scoring draws.
Alaves enter Matchday 3 sitting 4th in the table with 4 points, currently holding a continental qualification spot. They maintained their unbeaten start to the campaign last week with a 1-1 draw away at Rayo Vallecano, following a dominant 3-0 victory over Getafe in their home opener.
Villarreal occupy 9th place with 2 points, sitting just one point off the European places. Marcelino’s side has proven prolific but porous, recording consecutive 2-2 draws against Racing Santander and Atletico Madrid. While they have scored twice in every game so far, they are yet to secure their first win of the season.
Our model vs the market’s price.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
1.6
Strength rating and xG.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Villarreal are the stronger side — 124 rating points clear of Alaves.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
AlavesVillarrealGoals scored and conceded.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
AlavesVillarrealWhole season, home and away combined — Alaves 11 games, Villarreal 11 games.
AlavesVillarrealPast meetings.
Their recent form.
Where they sit in the table.
La Liga (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.
