Winlytics.AI
Full time
Pro League (Belgium)
·
Antwerp
Antwerp
13th · 7 pts·DLLLL
vs
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
11th · 8 pts·WLWLL
The story

Antwerp hunt top spot as St. Truiden search for stability

Sixth-placed Antwerp look to solidify their continental position against a St. Truiden side hovering just two points above the relegation zone.

Match news & current form

Royal Antwerp enter this fixture following a dramatic 4-4 draw against Genk, where Michael Frey rescued a point with a late brace after the 86th minute. Manager Jonas De Roeck, still in the early stages of his tenure, remains concerned about defensive fragility despite an unbeaten three-game run that has seen the side score nine goals. Antwerp currently sit 6th with 7 points, holding a continental qualification place.

St. Truiden are still searching for their first league win of the campaign after drawing their last two outings against Cercle Brugge and Lommel United. Currently 12th in the table and just two points clear of the drop, the visitors have struggled significantly on the road, winning just three of their last 27 away fixtures in the Pro League.

Head-to-head history

Recent history suggests a competitive edge for the visitors, with some data models placing St. Truiden with a high probability of success based on their historical resilience in this fixture, despite Antwerp's superior league position.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Michael Frey is in clinical form for Antwerp after netting twice in the final minutes last weekend.
  • Over 2.5 goals have landed in 7 of Royal Antwerp's last 10 home matches.
  • St. Truiden have seen over 2.5 goals in 100% of their last three away league games.
  • Antwerp have struggled for consistency at the Bosuilstadion, losing five of their last seven home league matches.
Key players & missing men

St. Truiden manager Marvin Compper is expected to shake up his frontline, with Carlos Mejia and Ibrahim Salah pushing for starts. New signing Mauricio Benitez is slated for a place on the bench following his move from Boca Juniors, while defender Joedrick Pupe is available again. Antwerp have a largely clean bill of health, though long-term absentee Bjorn Engels remains sidelined.

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We have published a signal on Antwerp vs St. Truiden — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Antwerp vs St. Truiden and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Antwerp1.9
2.5St. Truiden
Season average total: 4.42 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Antwerp winDrawSt. Truiden win
Market call
Double chance : Antwerp or Draw
Goals forecast
Over 3.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Antwerp
1480
St. Truiden
1555

St. Truiden are the stronger side — 74 rating points clear of Antwerp.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

AntwerpAntwerpSt. TruidenSt. Truiden
1.57Goals scored / game1.71
2.14Goals conceded / game1.71
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Antwerp 7 games, St. Truiden 7 games.

AntwerpAntwerpSt. TruidenSt. Truiden
14%Games with a clean sheet14%
29%Games they failed to score43%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Antwerp
1–4
St. Truiden
Antwerp
1–0
St. Truiden
Antwerp
3–3
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
1–0
Antwerp
St. Truiden
1–1
Antwerp
Form check

Their recent form.

Antwerp
Antwerp
Losing form badly
Last 5
0W · 1D · 4L
AntwerpvUnion St. Gilloise
0–2
L
Club Brugge KVvAntwerp
3–1
L
Standard LiegevAntwerp
1–0
L
AntwerpvSt. Truiden
1–4
L
AntwerpvGenk
4–4
D
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
St. TruidenvKVC Westerlo
0–2
L
SK BeverenvSt. Truiden
2–0
L
St. TruidenvRAAL La Louvière
4–0
W
St. TruidenvUnion St. Gilloise
0–3
L
AntwerpvSt. Truiden
1–4
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Pro League (Belgium) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
7
6
1
0
+18
19
2
GentGent
7
6
1
0
+9
19
3
Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
7
6
0
1
+12
18
4
CharleroiCharleroi
7
6
0
1
+8
18
5
AnderlechtAnderlecht
7
4
1
2
+2
13
6
Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem
7
3
2
2
+3
11
7
Standard LiegeStandard Liege
7
3
2
2
+1
11
8
KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
7
3
1
3
-1
10
9
SK BeverenSK Beveren
7
3
0
4
-4
9
10
GenkGenk
7
2
3
2
+1
9
11
St. TruidenSt. Truiden
7
2
2
3
+0
8
12
Lommel UnitedLommel United
7
2
2
3
-2
8
13
AntwerpAntwerp
7
2
1
4
-4
7
14
RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière
7
1
1
5
-7
4
15
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
7
1
1
5
-8
4
16
KortrijkKortrijk
7
1
0
6
-13
3
17
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
7
0
3
4
-6
3
18
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
7
0
3
4
-9
3