Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 19h
Serie A (Italy)
·
AS Roma
AS Roma
3rd · 14 pts·WWWDD
vs
—
Genoa
Genoa
17th · 4 pts·LLDLW
The story

Third-placed AS Roma host struggling Genoa in Serie A

AS Roma aim to maintain their fine start to the campaign when they face a Genoa side seeking their first league victory in five matches.

Match news & current form

AS Roma have made an impressive start to the Serie A campaign, sitting third on 14 points after six matches. They head into this weekend unbeaten in five league games (W4, D1), having shared the spoils in a lively 2-2 draw with Inter at the Stadio Olimpico following consecutive shutout wins over Torino, Atalanta, Lecce, and Fiorentina.

Genoa, by contrast, are still finding their feet near the foot of the table, sitting 17th with just four points from their opening six fixtures. Without a win in their last five outings (D1, L4), they travel to the capital looking to bounce back from a 2-1 defeat at Parma, having already suffered recent defeats to Como, Lazio, and Napoli.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between these sides have regularly delivered goals. While Genoa claimed a 2-1 home victory in their last encounter in March 2026, AS Roma took both fixtures prior to that, securing successive 3-1 victories at the Stadio Olimpico in 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Four of AS Roma's last five matches have produced at least three goals.
  • Three of Genoa's last five matches have seen Over 2.5 Goals scored.
  • The last three head-to-head encounters between AS Roma and Genoa have all featured over 2.5 goals (1-2, 3-1, 3-1).
  • AS Roma remain unbeaten in their last five league matches (W4, D1).
Key players & missing men

Paulo Dybala remains the central figure in Roma's attack, having registered 181 career goals and 91 assists, while Pierluigi Gollini is expected to start in goal for the hosts, who must cope without the absent M. Bah. Genoa counter with Stephan El Shaarawy, who sits on 99 career goals, with Justin Bijlow slated to start between the posts and L. Venturino ruled out through injury.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on AS Roma vs Genoa and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
AS Roma2.1
–
0.8Genoa
Season average total: 2.83 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
50%
50%
0%
AS Roma winDrawGenoa win
Market call
Winner : AS Roma
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

AS Roma
1793
Genoa
1618

AS Roma are the stronger side — 175 rating points clear of Genoa.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

AS RomaAS Roma
Goals scored
2.50
Expected (xG)
2.80
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
GenoaGenoa
Goals scored
0.60
Expected (xG)
0.96
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

AS RomaAS RomaGenoaGenoa
2.33Goals scored / game0.83
0.50Goals conceded / game1.83
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — AS Roma 6 games, Genoa 6 games.

AS RomaAS RomaGenoaGenoa
67%Games with a clean sheet0%
17%Games they failed to score33%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Genoa
2–1
AS Roma
AS Roma
3–1
Genoa
AS Roma
3–1
Genoa
Genoa
1–1
AS Roma
AS Roma
1–0
Genoa
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

AS Roma
M. Bah
Out · Jumpers Knee
Genoa
L. Venturino
Out · Jumpers Knee
Form check

Their recent form.

AS Roma
AS Roma
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 2D · 0L
ComovAS Roma
0–0
D
AS RomavInter
2–2
D
TorinovAS Roma
0–2
W
AS RomavAtalanta
2–1
W
LeccevAS Roma
0–4
W
Genoa
Genoa
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
GenoavFiorentina
2–1
W
ParmavGenoa
2–1
L
GenoavFrosinone
1–1
D
GenoavComo
1–4
L
LaziovGenoa
1–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
InterInter
6
5
1
0
+10
16
2
LazioLazio
6
5
1
0
+7
16
3
AS RomaAS Roma
6
4
2
0
+11
14
4
CagliariCagliari
6
4
1
1
+3
13
5
AC MilanAC Milan
6
3
3
0
+6
12
6
JuventusJuventus
6
3
2
1
+4
11
7
ComoComo
6
3
2
1
+3
11
8
NapoliNapoli
6
3
1
2
+4
10
9
FrosinoneFrosinone
6
3
1
2
+2
10
10
AtalantaAtalanta
6
3
0
3
+0
9
11
SassuoloSassuolo
6
2
2
2
+0
8
12
TorinoTorino
6
2
1
3
-2
7
13
LecceLecce
6
2
0
4
-6
6
14
BolognaBologna
6
1
2
3
-2
5
15
UdineseUdinese
6
1
1
4
-4
4
16
MonzaMonza
6
1
1
4
-6
4
17
GenoaGenoa
6
1
1
4
-6
4
18
ParmaParma
6
1
1
4
-6
4
19
FiorentinaFiorentina
6
1
1
4
-7
4
20
VeneziaVenezia
6
0
0
6
-11
0