Aston Villa look to build momentum after an uneven start against an unbeaten Brentford side sitting fourth after five games.
Aston Villa sit 16th on four points after five games following a slow start and a major summer overhaul under Unai Emery. However, they entered the break with momentum after securing a dramatic 3-2 victory away at Tottenham, providing a much-needed lift after consecutive league defeats.
Brentford have made a strong start to the campaign, sitting fourth on nine points after five matches under Keith Andrews. The Bees are unbeaten in their opening five league fixtures, sweeping Chelsea aside 3-0 in their last outing and remaining undefeated across all seven competitive matches this term.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Aston Villa are the stronger side — 84 rating points clear of Brentford.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Aston Villa 5 games, Brentford 5 games.
Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.