San Mames hosts the Basque derby with Athletic Club aiming to build on a resounding home win and Real Sociedad looking to extend a four-match winning run.
Athletic Club sit eighth on 12 points after nine matches, having played one game fewer than their visitors due to a rescheduling. They responded emphatically to a 3-1 defeat at Levante by sweeping aside Getafe 4-0 at home in their most recent outing, snapping a run of low-scoring draws against Elche, Alaves, and Valencia.
Real Sociedad sit fifth with 19 points from 10 games, putting together their strongest run in recent years. Since a 3-0 home loss to Atletico Madrid, the San Sebastian club have strung together four consecutive victories, edging Levante 2-1 last time out following high-scoring triumphs over Malaga, Deportivo La Coruna, and Valencia.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Evenly matched on rating.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Athletic Club 9 games, Real Sociedad 10 games.
La Liga (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.