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La Liga (Spain)
·
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
2nd · 16 pts·LLWWW
vs
Osasuna
Osasuna
13th · 8 pts·WLLLD
The story

Atletico Madrid host Osasuna following dominant away win

Atletico Madrid look to build on their strong start to the season against an Osasuna side struggling for defensive consistency after back-to-back defeats.

Match news & current form

Atletico Madrid sit 5th with 10 points after five games, having made a positive start to the campaign. Diego Simeone’s side travel back to the Metropolitano full of confidence following a clinical 3-0 away win against Real Sociedad last time out. They remain unbeaten in their last two home fixtures.

Osasuna occupy 11th place with seven points after five matches, but momentum has stalled for Luis Ramis's team. They arrive in Madrid on a two-match losing streak, having followed up a heavy 5-2 loss to Alaves with a 0-2 home defeat against Espanyol last weekend.

Head-to-head history

Atletico Madrid have historically dominated this fixture at home, winning 34 of the 49 meetings hosted at their stadium. While Atletico won the most recent encounter 2-1 in May 2026, Osasuna can take confidence from a stunning 4-1 victory at the Metropolitano in May 2024.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Osasuna are currently on a two-match losing streak in La Liga.
  • Atletico Madrid have won 50 of the 84 total league meetings between these two clubs.
  • Osasuna have conceded seven goals across their last two league outings.
  • Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last two matches played at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano.
Key players & missing men

Osasuna will rely on Ante Budimir, who boasts an impressive record of 86 La Liga goals. However, the visitors are depleted by the absences of M. Gomez, J. Herrando, A. Oroz, and V. Rosier. Atletico Madrid are also missing key personnel, with P. Barrios, J. Alvarez, S. Esteban, and A. Sorloth all unavailable for selection.

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We have published a signal on Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Atletico Madrid2.9
1.0Osasuna
Season average total: 3.96 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Atletico Madrid winDrawOsasuna win
Market call
Double chance : Atletico Madrid or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Atletico Madrid
1828
Osasuna
1650

Atletico Madrid are the stronger side — 177 rating points clear of Osasuna.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
Goals scored
2.00
Expected (xG)
1.98
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
OsasunaOsasuna
Goals scored
0.80
Expected (xG)
1.39
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Atletico MadridAtletico MadridOsasunaOsasuna
2.29Goals scored / game0.86
1.00Goals conceded / game1.86
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Atletico Madrid 7 games, Osasuna 7 games.

Atletico MadridAtletico MadridOsasunaOsasuna
43%Games with a clean sheet29%
14%Games they failed to score43%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

No prior meetings on record.

Form check

Their recent form.

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
Atletico MadridvReal Madrid
2–1
W
Atletico MadridvOsasuna
4–0
W
Real SociedadvAtletico Madrid
0–3
W
LiverpoolvAtletico Madrid
2–1
L
Athletic ClubvAtletico Madrid
3–0
L
Osasuna
Osasuna
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
OsasunavRayo Vallecano
1–1
D
Atletico MadridvOsasuna
4–0
L
OsasunavEspanyol
0–2
L
AlavesvOsasuna
5–2
L
OsasunavGetafe
1–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

La Liga (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
BarcelonaBarcelona
7
7
0
0
+24
21
2
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
7
5
1
1
+9
16
3
Real BetisReal Betis
7
5
1
1
+2
16
4
Real MadridReal Madrid
7
5
0
2
+10
15
5
SevillaSevilla
7
4
1
2
+1
13
6
AlavesAlaves
7
3
2
2
+5
11
7
Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna
7
2
4
1
+2
10
8
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
7
3
1
3
-4
10
9
VillarrealVillarreal
7
2
2
3
+1
8
10
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
6
2
2
2
+1
8
11
GetafeGetafe
7
2
2
3
-3
8
12
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
7
2
2
3
-5
8
13
OsasunaOsasuna
7
2
2
3
-7
8
14
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
7
1
4
2
+2
7
15
EspanyolEspanyol
7
2
1
4
+0
7
16
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
7
2
1
4
-10
7
17
LevanteLevante
6
1
2
3
-4
5
18
ElcheElche
7
1
2
4
-6
5
19
ValenciaValencia
7
1
1
5
-9
4
20
MalagaMalaga
7
0
3
4
-9
3