Diego Simeone’s Atletico Madrid look to maintain their perfect start to the campaign against a Villarreal side aiming to break into the European spots.
Atletico Madrid sit 4th with 3 points after a professional 2-0 victory over Malaga to open their season. Diego Simeone’s side relied on late goals from Lee Kang-in and Alex Baena to secure the points, and they now have the chance to secure successive wins to start the 2026-27 La Liga campaign at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano.
Villarreal, currently 8th with 1 point, are under the new management of Inigo Perez. They enter this fixture following a 2-2 draw away at Racing Santander. Despite their opening day stalemate, the Yellow Submarine are preparing for Champions League football this season following their third-place finish last term and will be desperate to close the two-point gap to the European places.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Atletico Madrid are the stronger side — 68 rating points clear of Villarreal.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Atletico Madrid 7 games, Villarreal 7 games.
No prior meetings on record.
La Liga (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.