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Liga MX (Mexico)
·
Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis
13th · 9 pts·DWLLW
vs
Guadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas
2nd · 18 pts·WDWWD
The story

Potosinos eye Monterrey momentum against unbeaten Guadalajara

Guadalajara look to cement their continental standing while Atletico San Luis fight to distance themselves from the bottom of the table.

Match news & current form

Atletico San Luis enter this fixture in 13th place, sitting just one point above the drop zone with 28 games to play. However, the mood in the camp has shifted following a rare and vital 3-1 away win against Monterrey last weekend. The hosts are now on a five-match unbeaten streak and are desperate for points to secure their top-flight survival.

Guadalajara Chivas currently occupy 5th place and a continental qualification spot. Gabriel Milito’s side extended their unbeaten run to five matches following a -1-1 draw at Pachuca, where a late penalty denied them all three points. Despite their high league position, Chivas have found defensive solidity difficult to maintain, frequently relying on their clinical edge to stay competitive.

Head-to-head history

The rivalry has been perfectly balanced since 2020, with both sides claiming five wins apiece alongside three draws. However, Chivas have held the upper hand in the most recent encounters, winning the last two meetings including a five-goal thriller at the Estadio Alfonso Lastras in January.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Atletico San Luis are currently enjoying a five-match unbeaten run in Liga MX.
  • Guadalajara have failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their last 13 competitive matches.
  • Chivas forward Roberto Alvarado is in peak form, having netted his fourth league goal of the season last weekend.
  • The last two meetings between these sides have produced a total of 12 goals.
Key players & missing men

Roberto Alvarado remains the danger man for the visitors, scoring just three minutes into their last outing against Pachuca. For San Luis, the attacking unit is gaining confidence after their three-goal outburst in Monterrey. Both squads currently report no fresh injury concerns or suspensions, allowing both managers to field their strongest available lineups.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Atletico San Luis0.8
1.6Guadalajara Chivas
Season average total: 2.40 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Atletico San Luis winDrawGuadalajara Chivas win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Guadalajara Chivas
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Atletico San LuisAtletico San LuisGuadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
1.22Goals scored / game1.88
1.78Goals conceded / game0.75
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Atletico San Luis 9 games, Guadalajara Chivas 8 games.

Atletico San LuisAtletico San LuisGuadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
11%Games with a clean sheet50%
44%Games they failed to score13%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Atletico San Luis
0–3
Guadalajara Chivas
Atletico San Luis
2–3
Guadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas
4–3
Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis
3–1
Guadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas
0–1
Atletico San Luis
Form check

Their recent form.

Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Atletico San LuisvNecaxa
3–1
W
LeonvAtletico San Luis
2–0
L
Atletico San LuisvGuadalajara Chivas
0–3
L
MonterreyvAtletico San Luis
1–3
W
Atletico San LuisvCF Pachuca
1–1
D
Guadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 2D · 0L
Club AmericavGuadalajara Chivas
2–2
D
Guadalajara ChivasvU.N.A.M. - Pumas
3–0
W
Atletico San LuisvGuadalajara Chivas
0–3
W
CF PachucavGuadalajara Chivas
1–1
D
Guadalajara ChivasvClub Tijuana
5–2
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Liga MX (Mexico) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
TolucaToluca
9
6
1
2
+11
19
2
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
9
5
3
1
+9
18
3
Club AmericaClub America
8
5
2
1
+9
17
4
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
9
5
0
4
+1
15
5
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
8
4
2
2
+2
14
6
PueblaPuebla
9
4
2
3
+0
14
7
AtlasAtlas
9
4
2
3
-2
14
8
MonterreyMonterrey
8
4
1
3
+4
13
9
Club QueretaroClub Queretaro
7
4
1
2
+3
13
10
LeonLeon
8
4
1
3
+2
13
11
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
9
3
3
3
+5
12
12
U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
9
3
3
3
-1
12
13
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
9
2
3
4
-5
9
14
Atlante FCAtlante FC
9
1
5
3
-5
8
15
NecaxaNecaxa
9
2
2
5
-6
8
16
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
9
1
4
4
-4
7
17
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
9
2
1
6
-6
7
18
FC JuarezFC Juarez
9
1
0
8
-17
3