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Liga Profesional (Argentina)
·
Atletico Tucuman
Atletico Tucuman
13th · 14 pts·WDDWL
vs
—
River Plate
River Plate
2nd · 29 pts·DWWWL
The story

River Plate face Tucuman fortress under Ponzio

River Plate travel to the Monumental Jose Fierro looking to cement their playoff standing against an Atletico Tucuman side desperate to close a seven-point gap on the knockout places.

Match news & current form

Atletico Tucuman enter this clash in solid form, unbeaten in their last five matches following a 2-1 away victory against Racing Club. Sitting 13th on 14 points, they remain five places off the playoff spots and require a win here to keep their post-season ambitions alive in the final stretch of the campaign.

River Plate occupy second place with 29 points, holding a comfortable eight-point cushion inside the playoff zone. Under the new leadership of Leonardo Ponzio, the Millonario have found momentum with back-to-back wins over Banfield and Independiente Rivadavia, and the manager is expected to name an unchanged starting XI for the third consecutive game.

Head-to-head history

Recent history heavily favours the hosts; Atletico Tucuman have won the last two encounters, including a 1-0 victory in May 2026 and a 2-0 win in September 2025. River Plate’s struggles in this fixture are long-standing, as they have failed to record a win in the province of Tucuman for seven years.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Atletico Tucuman have won the last two head-to-head meetings against River Plate.
  • River Plate have not won an away match in Tucuman since 2019.
  • The last three meetings between these sides have all featured fewer than three goals.
  • Neither side has managed to score in the same match across their last three league encounters.
  • Leonardo Ponzio is seeking to name an unchanged lineup for the third straight game, a feat not achieved at River since 2023.
Key players & missing men

Leonardo Ponzio has found stability in his selection, likely sticking with the same eleven that defeated Independiente Rivadavia 3-1 last time out. Both squads appear to be at full strength for this fixture with no fresh absences reported, allowing Tucuman to field the side that recently upset Racing Club.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Atletico Tucuman0.8
–
0.9River Plate
Season average total: 1.69 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Atletico Tucuman winDrawRiver Plate win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or River Plate
Goals forecast
Under 3.5 goals
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Atletico TucumanAtletico TucumanRiver PlateRiver Plate
0.88Goals scored / game1.43
1.00Goals conceded / game0.97
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Atletico Tucuman 25 games, River Plate 30 games.

Atletico TucumanAtletico TucumanRiver PlateRiver Plate
44%Games with a clean sheet33%
32%Games they failed to score30%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Atletico Tucuman
1–2
River Plate
River Plate
0–1
Atletico Tucuman
Atletico Tucuman
2–0
River Plate
River Plate
1–0
Atletico Tucuman
River Plate
4–1
Atletico Tucuman
Form check

Their recent form.

Atletico Tucuman
Atletico Tucuman
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Atletico TucumanvRiver Plate
1–2
L
Racing ClubvAtletico Tucuman
1–2
W
Atletico TucumanvBelgrano Cordoba
0–0
D
Atletico TucumanvInstituto Cordoba
0–0
D
Estudiantes de Rio CuartovAtletico Tucuman
0–1
W
River Plate
River Plate
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
River PlatevHuracan
1–2
L
Atletico TucumanvRiver Plate
1–2
W
River PlatevIndepend. Rivadavia
3–1
W
BanfieldvRiver Plate
2–3
W
River PlatevVelez Sarsfield
2–2
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Liga Profesional (Argentina) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
16
10
4
2
+14
34
2
River PlateRiver Plate
16
9
2
5
+10
29
3
Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS
16
8
5
3
+4
29
4
Rosario CentralRosario Central
16
8
4
4
+4
28
5
Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba
16
7
5
4
+4
26
6
Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.
16
8
2
6
+0
26
7
HuracanHuracan
16
5
7
4
+4
22
8
Racing ClubRacing Club
16
5
6
5
+2
21
9
Barracas CentralBarracas Central
16
5
6
5
+0
21
10
TigreTigre
16
4
8
4
+3
20
11
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
16
6
1
9
-7
19
12
BanfieldBanfield
16
5
3
8
-2
18
13
Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman
16
3
5
8
-5
14
14
AldosiviAldosivi
16
0
8
8
-13
8
15
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
16
1
2
13
-19
5