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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
Austin
Austin
14th · 34 pts·LLWLL
vs
—
Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids
9th · 43 pts·DDWDL
The story

Austin hunt playoff places against travel-weary Rapids

Austin FC look to close a five-point gap to the playoff places as they host a Colorado Rapids side clinging to seventh spot in the Western Conference.

Match news & current form

Austin FC enter this critical double-match week on a four-game unbeaten run in MLS, most recently rescuing a 1-1 draw against San Jose thanks to a 96th-minute equaliser from Guilherme Biro. Currently 14th and five points adrift of the playoff places with 11 games remaining, the hosts have turned Q2 Stadium into a difficult venue, suffering just one defeat in their last seven matches across all competitions.

Colorado Rapids occupy 7th place, holding a slim one-point cushion inside the playoff places. While they have secured recent home wins against Real Salt Lake and LAFC, their away form has faltered significantly. The Rapids were hammered 3-0 by Columbus Crew last time out and suffered an identical 3-0 defeat at San Diego in their previous road trip.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Austin have lost only one of their last seven matches at Q2 Stadium since returning from the World Cup break.
  • Colorado have failed to score and conceded six goals across their last two away matches.
  • The Rapids rank in the top five for average possession but sit 29th in the league for shots on target per match.
  • Austin are currently enjoying a four-match unbeaten streak in MLS play.
Key players & missing men

With leading scorer Rafael Navarro recently departed for St. Louis, Paxten Aaronson becomes the focal point for Colorado, carrying four goals and six assists. The Rapids have also invested in Middlesbrough winger Morgan Whittaker for a club-record fee to bolster their attack. Austin will rely on the momentum of Guilherme Biro following his late heroics against San Jose.

Absences are a concern for both sides. Austin are without M. Uzuni and M. Desler. Colorado travel without M. Diop, T. Ku-DiPietro, and goalkeeper Z. Steffen.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Austin vs Colorado Rapids and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Austin1.6
–
1.2Colorado Rapids
Season average total: 2.75 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Austin winDrawColorado Rapids win
Market call
Double chance : Austin or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

AustinAustinColorado RapidsColorado Rapids
1.27Goals scored / game1.39
1.91Goals conceded / game1.42
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Austin 33 games, Colorado Rapids 33 games.

AustinAustinColorado RapidsColorado Rapids
15%Games with a clean sheet33%
18%Games they failed to score24%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Austin
1–1
Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids
1–0
Austin
Colorado Rapids
0–2
Austin
Austin
0–1
Colorado Rapids
Austin
3–2
Colorado Rapids
Form check

Their recent form.

Austin
Austin
Losing form badly
Last 5
1W · 0D · 4L
Los Angeles GalaxyvAustin
4–1
L
AustinvReal Salt Lake
1–2
L
Sporting Kansas CityvAustin
1–2
W
AustinvVancouver Whitecaps
1–2
L
Los Angeles FCvAustin
3–1
L
Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 3D · 1L
Colorado RapidsvChicago Fire
2–4
L
San Jose EarthquakesvColorado Rapids
2–2
D
Colorado RapidsvVancouver Whitecaps
1–0
W
Portland TimbersvColorado Rapids
0–0
D
Colorado RapidsvMinnesota United FC
2–2
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
33
18
7
8
+38
61
2
FC DallasFC Dallas
33
15
10
8
+9
55
3
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
33
14
10
9
+8
52
4
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
33
14
9
10
+10
51
5
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
33
14
9
10
+1
51
6
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
33
12
11
10
+13
47
7
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
33
11
11
11
-6
44
8
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
33
12
7
14
-1
43
9
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
33
12
7
14
-1
43
10
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
33
11
10
12
-3
43
11
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
33
12
6
15
+0
42
12
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
33
10
11
12
-4
41
13
San DiegoSan Diego
33
9
11
13
-5
38
14
AustinAustin
33
8
10
15
-21
34
15
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
33
6
5
22
-42
23