Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 17h
Major League Soccer (USA)
·
Austin
Austin
13th · 31 pts·DDWDD
vs
—
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
1st · 60 pts·DLDWW
The story

Playoff chasing Austin host league leaders Nashville SC

Austin look to close the gap on the playoff places as league leaders Nashville SC visit Q2 Stadium aiming to tighten their grip on the title race.

Match news & current form

Austin sit 13th in the Western Conference on 31 points, five points and four places off the playoff places with seven games remaining. While wins have been hard to come by, they have developed resilience, going unbeaten across their last five matches (W1 D4). They enter this clash following an entertaining 3-3 home draw against San Diego, having also drawn 0-0 at FC Dallas recently.

Nashville SC sit top of the table on 60 points with seven games left, firmly in control of the title race with a commanding cushion over the chasing pack. They arrive on the back of consecutive home clean-sheet victories, downing Chicago Fire 3-0 before beating Toronto FC 2-0, though their recent travels have yielded mixed results with just two points from their last three away outings.

Head-to-head history

This fixture serves as a swift reunion following their meeting on 2 October 2025, where Nashville secured a 2-1 victory at Austin. The historical meetings remain balanced across the last five encounters, with Austin winning two, Nashville winning two, and one draw.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Austin are unbeaten in their last five league matches (W1 D4).
  • Four of Austin's last five games have ended all square.
  • Nashville have failed to win their last three away fixtures (D2 L1).
  • Nashville goalkeeper Brian Schwake is targeting Tony Meola's 34-game regular-season shutout record of 16 clean sheets.
Key players & missing men

Nashville boast a potent attack led by Samuel Surridge and Hany Mukhtar, who have scored 16 and 13 league goals respectively this season, with Brian Schwake starting in goal. Austin have Christian Ramirez, Myrto Uzuni, and Facundo Torres pushing to lead the line ahead of goalkeeper Brad Stuver. Neither side has any reported injury absences ahead of kickoff.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Austin vs Nashville SC and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Austin1.1
–
1.1Nashville SC
Season average total: 2.19 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Austin winDrawNashville SC win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Nashville SC
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

AustinAustinNashville SCNashville SC
1.30Goals scored / game2.04
1.74Goals conceded / game0.78
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Austin 27 games, Nashville SC 27 games.

AustinAustinNashville SCNashville SC
19%Games with a clean sheet48%
22%Games they failed to score19%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Austin
1–2
Nashville SC
Austin
2–1
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
0–2
Austin
Austin
1–1
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
3–0
Austin
Form check

Their recent form.

Austin
Austin
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 4D · 0L
AustinvSan Diego
3–3
D
FC DallasvAustin
0–0
D
Vancouver WhitecapsvAustin
1–2
W
AustinvColorado Rapids
1–1
D
AustinvSan Jose Earthquakes
1–1
D
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Nashville SCvToronto FC
2–0
W
Nashville SCvChicago Fire
3–0
W
Inter MiamivNashville SC
2–2
D
Toronto FCvNashville SC
2–1
L
New York City FCvNashville SC
0–0
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Nashville SCNashville SC
27
18
6
3
+34
60
2
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
27
14
4
9
+9
46
3
Inter MiamiInter Miami
27
12
10
5
+14
46
4
Chicago FireChicago Fire
27
13
6
8
+10
45
5
CharlotteCharlotte
27
12
7
8
+9
43
6
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
27
11
6
10
+10
39
7
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
27
10
4
13
-16
34
8
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
27
9
6
12
-17
33
9
New York City FCNew York City FC
27
8
9
10
+5
33
10
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
26
8
9
9
-9
33
11
DC UnitedDC United
26
6
12
8
-8
30
12
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
27
8
5
14
-4
29
13
Toronto FCToronto FC
27
6
11
10
-12
29
14
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
27
7
6
14
-13
27
15
CF MontrealCF Montreal
27
6
6
15
-20
24