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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
Austin
Austin
11th · 30 pts·WDDWD
vs
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
5th · 42 pts·DDWWD
The story

Austin seek historic PayPal Park win against Quakes

San Jose Earthquakes look to arrest a dismal run of form to protect their European qualification spot against an Austin side chasing silverware in the U.S. Open Cup Quarterfinals.

Match news & current form

San Jose Earthquakes sit 4th in the table with 34 points, but their form has cratered at the worst possible time. The Quakes have failed to win any of their last five matches, suffering heavy defeats including a 5-1 thrashing by Minnesota United and a 4-2 loss to FC Cincinnati. Despite this, Bruce Arena’s side remains the second-highest scorers in MLS with 41 goals, though they have become increasingly vulnerable at the back.

Austin FC enter this knockout clash with significant momentum, having won two of their last three matches on the road against Portland and Seattle. Under pressure to deliver the club's first major trophy, the Verde & Black have shown flashes of creative promise, most recently securing a 2-1 victory over the Timbers to steady their campaign after a difficult run.

Head-to-head history

While Austin have never recorded a victory on San Jose soil, they have become specialists at leaving PayPal Park with a point. The Verde & Black are unbeaten in San Jose since 2021, having played out draws in each of their last three visits to the West Coast.

Hot stats & streaks
  • San Jose have lost four of their last five matches, conceding 13 goals in that span.
  • Austin have avoided defeat in three consecutive visits to PayPal Park.
  • The Quakes have failed to score in only two matches across the entire 2026 campaign.
  • Only two teams in MLS have conceded more home goals this season than San Jose.
Key players & missing men

Austin’s creative spark comes from Facundo Torres, who leads the team with three assists and 21 big chances created this term. San Jose will rely on Ousseni Bouda, who is currently averaging 0.5 goals per match. The Earthquakes are significantly depleted for this clash, missing N. Adimabua, E. Edwards, D. Johnson, D. Jones, and T. Werner, which may further strain a defense that has struggled for consistency.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Austin1.3
1.4San Jose Earthquakes
Season average total: 2.75 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Austin winDrawSan Jose Earthquakes win
Market call
Double chance : Austin or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

AustinAustinSan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
1.23Goals scored / game1.77
1.69Goals conceded / game1.46
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Austin 26 games, San Jose Earthquakes 26 games.

AustinAustinSan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
19%Games with a clean sheet27%
23%Games they failed to score15%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Austin
1–1
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
5–1
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
2–1
Austin
Austin
3–1
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
1–1
Austin
Form check

Their recent form.

Austin
Austin
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
FC DallasvAustin
0–0
D
Vancouver WhitecapsvAustin
1–2
W
AustinvColorado Rapids
1–1
D
AustinvSan Jose Earthquakes
1–1
D
Portland TimbersvAustin
1–2
W
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
San Jose EarthquakesvLos Angeles FC
2–2
D
San Jose EarthquakesvHouston Dynamo
1–0
W
San DiegovSan Jose Earthquakes
2–3
W
AustinvSan Jose Earthquakes
1–1
D
Houston DynamovSan Jose Earthquakes
0–0
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
25
15
4
6
+33
49
2
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
26
13
5
8
+4
44
3
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
26
12
8
6
+9
44
4
FC DallasFC Dallas
26
12
8
6
+7
44
5
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
26
12
6
8
+8
42
6
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
27
11
8
8
+14
41
7
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
26
11
3
12
+1
36
8
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
27
8
9
10
-8
33
9
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
26
9
5
12
-1
32
10
San DiegoSan Diego
25
8
6
11
+0
30
11
AustinAustin
26
7
9
10
-12
30
12
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
25
8
5
12
-5
29
13
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
24
7
8
9
-5
29
14
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
26
7
8
11
-7
29
15
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
25
5
3
17
-34
18