Winlytics.AI
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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
Austin
Austin
11th · 30 pts·WDDWD
vs
Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders
13th · 29 pts·DDDDD
The story

Austin seek reset as Sounders defend Western Conference spot

Austin FC return from the World Cup break looking to climb from the foot of the West, while Seattle Sounders fight to maintain their top-six standing despite a defensive crisis.

Match news & current form

Austin FC enter this fixture under the interim leadership of Davy Arnaud, seeking to end a four-match winless run. Currently 14th in the Western Conference with 14 points, 'Los Verdes' have not played since a 3-0 defeat to St. Louis City in late May. Their last taste of success came at home on May 3, and this match represents a vital opportunity to reset their season after the international pause.

Seattle Sounders sit 6th in the West with 24 points, but Brian Schmetzer’s side is reeling from a heavy 5-1 loss to the Portland Timbers last week. Having lost three consecutive matches and conceding eight goals in their last two home games, the Sounders are struggling for defensive stability as they attempt to close the eight-point gap on league leaders Vancouver.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Seattle Sounders have lost three consecutive MLS matches heading into this fixture.
  • Austin FC have picked up only one point from their last four league games.
  • The Sounders have conceded 11 goals across their last five matches in all competitions.
  • Austin's last victory and last clean sheet both occurred at Q2 Stadium on May 3.
Key players & missing men

Seattle’s Hassani Dotson scored his first goal for the club last week following his offseason move, while Osaze De Rosario remains a clinical threat with two goals from limited minutes. However, the Sounders are decimated by absences, including both Roldan brothers (Alex and Cristian), Yeimar Gomez Andrade, and Pedro de la Vega. Austin will rely on goalkeeper Brad Stuver to maintain his high save rate, though they must cope without the injured Brendan Hines-Ike and Myrto Uzuni.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Austin1.2
1.0Seattle Sounders
Season average total: 2.20 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Austin winDrawSeattle Sounders win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Seattle Sounders
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

AustinAustinSeattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
1.23Goals scored / game1.17
1.69Goals conceded / game1.38
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Austin 26 games, Seattle Sounders 24 games.

AustinAustinSeattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
19%Games with a clean sheet25%
23%Games they failed to score25%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Seattle Sounders
1–2
Austin
Austin
3–1
Seattle Sounders
Austin
2–1
Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders
2–0
Austin
Austin
0–1
Seattle Sounders
Form check

Their recent form.

Austin
Austin
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
FC DallasvAustin
0–0
D
Vancouver WhitecapsvAustin
1–2
W
AustinvColorado Rapids
1–1
D
AustinvSan Jose Earthquakes
1–1
D
Portland TimbersvAustin
1–2
W
Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
0W · 5D · 0L
Colorado RapidsvSeattle Sounders
3–3
D
Los Angeles GalaxyvSeattle Sounders
1–1
D
Seattle SoundersvNew York Red Bulls
0–0
D
Seattle SoundersvChicago Fire
2–2
D
FC CincinnativSeattle Sounders
1–1
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
25
15
4
6
+33
49
2
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
26
13
5
8
+4
44
3
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
26
12
8
6
+9
44
4
FC DallasFC Dallas
26
12
8
6
+7
44
5
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
26
12
6
8
+8
42
6
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
27
11
8
8
+14
41
7
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
26
11
3
12
+1
36
8
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
27
8
9
10
-8
33
9
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
26
9
5
12
-1
32
10
San DiegoSan Diego
25
8
6
11
+0
30
11
AustinAustin
26
7
9
10
-12
30
12
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
25
8
5
12
-5
29
13
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
24
7
8
9
-5
29
14
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
26
7
8
11
-7
29
15
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
25
5
3
17
-34
18