Winlytics.AI
Full time
Ligue 1 (France)
·
Auxerre
Auxerre
10th · 6 pts·LLLWW
vs
Angers
Angers
7th · 7 pts·LWLDW
The story

Relegation battle looms as Auxerre and Angers seek redemption

Both Auxerre and Angers enter this clash rooted in the relegation zone, knowing a victory is essential to kickstart their survival campaigns after opening-day defeats.

Match news & current form

Auxerre sit 17th with 33 games remaining to save their season. Christophe Pélissier’s side suffered a heavy 5-2 defeat at Lens last time out, a result that exposed significant defensive frailties but showed they can contribute to a high scoreline.

Angers occupy 16th place and are looking to recover from a 2-0 home loss to Lille. Currently on a six-match winless run in Ligue 1, Les Scoistes are desperate to find the net after being established as one of the league's lowest-scoring outfits in the previous campaign.

Head-to-head history

Angers have held the upper hand recently, winning the last two meetings by a 2-0 scoreline. However, the Stade de l’Abbé-Deschamps has not been a happy hunting ground for them; they lost 1-0 on their last visit to Auxerre.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Angers have failed to win any of their last six Ligue 1 matches.
  • Auxerre have seen under 2.5 goals in their last four matches against Angers in all competitions.
  • Angers have won two of their last three league matches against sides starting the day in the bottom three.
  • Auxerre failed to score in eight of their last 11 home league matches.
Key players & missing men

Auxerre manager Christophe Pélissier is dealing with a significant injury list, with Nathan Buayi-Kiala and Oussama El Azzouzi confirmed out, while Fredrik Oppegard remains a doubt. Angers are also depleted, as Marius Courcoul, Yassin Belkhdim, and Harouna Djibirin are all expected to miss the trip due to injury.

No signal
The model didn’t surface a signal for this match. Browse the data below to form your own view.
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Auxerre0.8
1.5Angers
Season average total: 2.25 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Auxerre winDrawAngers win
Market call
Winner : Auxerre
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Auxerre
1624
Angers
1548

Auxerre are the stronger side — 77 rating points clear of Angers.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

AuxerreAuxerre
Goals scored
1.80
Expected (xG)
1.25
Clinical — scoring above their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
AngersAngers
Goals scored
1.00
Expected (xG)
1.43
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

AuxerreAuxerreAngersAngers
1.25Goals scored / game1.20
2.75Goals conceded / game1.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Auxerre 4 games, Angers 5 games.

AuxerreAuxerreAngersAngers
25%Games with a clean sheet40%
0%Games they failed to score40%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Auxerre
1–3
Angers
Auxerre
3–1
Angers
Angers
2–0
Auxerre
Angers
2–0
Auxerre
Auxerre
1–0
Angers
Form check

Their recent form.

Auxerre
Auxerre
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
AuxerrevStade Brestois 29
2–1
W
AuxerrevNice
1–0
W
LyonvAuxerre
3–1
L
AuxerrevAngers
1–3
L
LensvAuxerre
5–2
L
Angers
Angers
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
AngersvEstac Troyes
2–0
W
Le HavrevAngers
0–0
D
AngersvRennes
1–2
L
AuxerrevAngers
1–3
W
AngersvLille
0–2
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
MonacoMonaco
5
4
1
0
+5
13
2
LyonLyon
5
3
2
0
+8
11
3
Paris FCParis FC
5
3
2
0
+5
11
4
LilleLille
5
3
1
1
+4
10
5
RennesRennes
5
3
1
1
-1
10
6
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
5
2
2
1
+1
8
7
AngersAngers
5
2
1
2
+1
7
8
StrasbourgStrasbourg
5
2
1
2
+0
7
9
Le MansLe Mans
5
1
3
1
+0
6
10
AuxerreAuxerre
5
2
0
3
-5
6
11
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
5
1
2
2
-1
5
12
LorientLorient
5
1
2
2
-1
5
13
ToulouseToulouse
5
1
2
2
-2
5
14
NiceNice
5
1
2
2
-3
5
15
LensLens
5
1
1
3
+0
4
16
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
5
1
1
3
-7
4
17
MarseilleMarseille
5
1
0
4
-1
3
18
Le HavreLe Havre
5
0
2
3
-3
2