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Ligue 1 (France)
·
Auxerre
Auxerre
10th · 6 pts·LLLWW
vs
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
11th · 5 pts·DDWLL
The story

Auxerre host Stade Brestois seeking consecutive home wins

Auxerre look to build on their first victory of the season while Stade Brestois aim to recover from a narrow defeat to the league leaders.

Match news & current form

Auxerre sit 15th with 3 points after four games and are looking to find consistency after a mixed start. They found their feet in their last home match, securing a 1-0 win over Nice thanks to a Cameron Archer goal, though they come into this fixture following a heavy 2-5 defeat away to Lens.

Stade Brestois 29 occupy 7th place with 5 points and arrive in Burgundy following a tight 0-1 loss against Paris Saint-Germain. Managed by Julien Lachuer, the side has shown resilience on the road, recently winning 2-1 at Le Havre and picking up high-scoring draws against Toulouse and Le Mans.

Head-to-head history

The recent history at the Stade de l’Abbe-Deschamps heavily favours the hosts; Auxerre won the most recent meeting there 3-0 in March 2026. In fact, Brest have not managed a top-flight victory in Burgundy since 2011.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Auxerre have scored in every single one of their four league matches so far this season.
  • Stade Brestois have failed to win a Ligue 1 match at Auxerre in 15 years.
  • Auxerre have emerged victorious in three of their last four home league outings.
  • Kamory Doumbia enters the matchday as one of the league's joint-top scorers with four goals.
Key players & missing men

Hamed Junior Traoré is the creative spark for Auxerre, while Kamory Doumbia provides the primary goal threat for the visitors. However, Brest face a significant setback with captain Brendan Chardonnet ruled out, joining R. Cagnon, M. Diambou, and N. Edjouma on the sidelines. Auxerre are also missing several players, including A. Diousse, B. Okoh, M. Senaya, T. Siwe, and S. Fofana.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Auxerre1.3
1.6Stade Brestois 29
Season average total: 2.92 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Auxerre winDrawStade Brestois 29 win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Stade Brestois 29
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Auxerre
1624
Stade Brestois 29
1621

Evenly matched on rating.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

AuxerreAuxerre
Goals scored
1.80
Expected (xG)
1.25
Clinical — scoring above their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
Goals scored
1.20
Expected (xG)
1.70
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

AuxerreAuxerreStade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
1.25Goals scored / game1.40
2.75Goals conceded / game1.60
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Auxerre 4 games, Stade Brestois 29 5 games.

AuxerreAuxerreStade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
25%Games with a clean sheet0%
0%Games they failed to score20%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Auxerre
2–1
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
3–0
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
2–0
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
2–2
Auxerre
Auxerre
3–0
Stade Brestois 29
Form check

Their recent form.

Auxerre
Auxerre
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
AuxerrevStade Brestois 29
2–1
W
AuxerrevNice
1–0
W
LyonvAuxerre
3–1
L
AuxerrevAngers
1–3
L
LensvAuxerre
5–2
L
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
AuxerrevStade Brestois 29
2–1
L
Stade Brestois 29vParis Saint Germain
0–1
L
Le HavrevStade Brestois 29
1–2
W
Stade Brestois 29vToulouse
2–2
D
Le MansvStade Brestois 29
2–2
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
MonacoMonaco
5
4
1
0
+5
13
2
LyonLyon
5
3
2
0
+8
11
3
Paris FCParis FC
5
3
2
0
+5
11
4
LilleLille
5
3
1
1
+4
10
5
RennesRennes
5
3
1
1
-1
10
6
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
5
2
2
1
+1
8
7
AngersAngers
5
2
1
2
+1
7
8
StrasbourgStrasbourg
5
2
1
2
+0
7
9
Le MansLe Mans
5
1
3
1
+0
6
10
AuxerreAuxerre
5
2
0
3
-5
6
11
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
5
1
2
2
-1
5
12
LorientLorient
5
1
2
2
-1
5
13
ToulouseToulouse
5
1
2
2
-2
5
14
NiceNice
5
1
2
2
-3
5
15
LensLens
5
1
1
3
+0
4
16
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
5
1
1
3
-7
4
17
MarseilleMarseille
5
1
0
4
-1
3
18
Le HavreLe Havre
5
0
2
3
-3
2