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Full time
Serie B (Italy)
·
Avellino
Avellino
9th · 7 pts·LWWDL
vs
Palermo
Palermo
1st · 13 pts·WWWDW
The story

Palermo defend perfect start against Nesta's rising Avellino

Top-of-the-table Palermo look to extend their perfect start to the season while 10th-placed Avellino aim to break into the playoff positions.

Match news & current form

Avellino sit 10th with six points after a mixed opening three games. Following an opening defeat to Arezzo, Alessandro Nesta’s side have found their feet with back-to-back wins against Vicenza Virtus (3-0) and Modena (1-0). The Biancoverdi are building momentum and have yet to concede a goal since the opening weekend.

Palermo are currently in control of the title race, sitting top of the table with a perfect nine points from nine. The Rosanero have won five consecutive matches across all competitions this season, including recent league victories over Arezzo and Sampdoria. Manager Filippo Inzaghi has successfully transitioned the team to a 4-3-3 system, though this trip to the Partenio-Lombardi represents their toughest test yet.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings have been tightly contested, with Avellino's last victory over Palermo coming in a 1-0 playoff win in May 2025. While Palermo won the most recent encounter 2-0 in April 2026, the sides shared the spoils in a 2-2 draw during their last meeting at this stadium in December 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Palermo have won every competitive match played so far this season (5/5).
  • Avellino have kept two consecutive clean sheets in Serie B.
  • The last three meetings between these sides at the Partenio-Lombardi have seen both teams find the net or the match decided by a single goal.
  • Palermo have scored at least one goal in each of their last three league outings.
Key players & missing men

Avellino will be without Favilli, Simic, Palmiero, and Fila for this clash, placing more pressure on Cheddira and Russo to lead the line in Nesta's 3-5-2. Palermo face significant absences as well, with regular goalkeeper Joronen joined on the sidelines by Hernani and Strefezza. Perin continues in goal, while Vavassori is expected to start in the front three alongside the dangerous Pohjanpalo and Johnsen.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Avellino1.6
1.5Palermo
Season average total: 3.08 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Avellino winDrawPalermo win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Palermo
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Avellino
1382
Palermo
1514

Palermo are the stronger side — 132 rating points clear of Avellino.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

AvellinoAvellinoPalermoPalermo
1.40Goals scored / game2.00
1.20Goals conceded / game1.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Avellino 5 games, Palermo 5 games.

AvellinoAvellinoPalermoPalermo
40%Games with a clean sheet20%
0%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Avellino
1–1
Palermo
Palermo
2–0
Avellino
Avellino
2–2
Palermo
Avellino
1–2
Palermo
Palermo
1–1
Avellino
Form check

Their recent form.

Avellino
Avellino
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
AscolivAvellino
3–1
L
AvellinovPalermo
1–1
D
ModenavAvellino
0–1
W
AvellinovVicenza Virtus
3–0
W
AvellinovArezzo
1–2
L
Palermo
Palermo
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 1D · 0L
PalermovPadova
2–1
W
AvellinovPalermo
1–1
D
PalermovSampdoria
3–1
W
ArezzovPalermo
2–3
W
PalermovJuve Stabia
1–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie B (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
PalermoPalermo
5
4
1
0
+5
13
2
SudtirolSudtirol
5
3
2
0
+6
11
3
MantovaMantova
5
3
2
0
+5
11
4
ModenaModena
5
3
1
1
+4
10
5
AscoliAscoli
5
3
1
1
+3
10
6
PadovaPadova
5
2
1
2
-1
7
7
BeneventoBenevento
5
2
1
2
+1
7
8
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
5
2
1
2
+3
7
9
AvellinoAvellino
5
2
1
2
+1
7
10
CesenaCesena
5
1
4
0
+1
7
11
PisaPisa
5
2
1
2
+0
7
12
ArezzoArezzo
5
2
0
3
-7
6
13
EmpoliEmpoli
5
2
0
3
-2
6
14
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella
5
1
2
2
+1
5
15
CremoneseCremonese
5
1
2
2
-2
5
16
Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus
5
1
2
2
-3
5
17
SampdoriaSampdoria
5
1
1
3
-4
4
18
Juve StabiaJuve Stabia
5
1
2
2
-3
3
19
CatanzaroCatanzaro
5
1
0
4
-4
3
20
CarrareseCarrarese
5
0
1
4
-4
1