Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 20h
Serie B (Italy)
·
Avellino
Avellino
10th · 12 pts·LWDLD
vs
—
Pisa
Pisa
6th · 15 pts·DWWDD
The story

Avellino host unbeaten Pisa after earning late away point

Tenth-placed Avellino seek to climb the early Serie B table as they welcome a sixth-placed Pisa side currently riding a five-match unbeaten run.

Match news & current form

Avellino sit 10th with 12 points after the opening nine rounds of the 38-game season. Raffaele Bianco's side salvaged a late 1-1 draw away at Virtus Entella last weekend, following a narrow 1-0 home defeat against Padova and a 1-1 draw at Cesena. With just one defeat in their last three outings, the hosts are steadily finding their rhythm on home turf.

Pisa have made a positive start, sitting 6th on 15 points after nine matches. The Tuscan outfit played out an entertaining 3-3 draw at home to Palermo last time out, which followed a 1-1 draw at Hellas Verona and consecutive victories against Cremonese (3-1) and Vicenza Virtus (3-0). They enter this trip undefeated in their last five league fixtures.

Head-to-head history

Avellino have claimed victory in both of the last recorded meetings between the two sides, winning 1-0 at home in November 2016 and following it up with a 1-0 away victory at Pisa in April 2017.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Pisa are unbeaten in their last five Serie B matches (W2, D3).
  • Both teams have scored in four of Pisa's last five league fixtures.
  • Avellino have won the last two head-to-head encounters by a 1-0 scoreline.
  • Both sides enter this fixture on the back of draws in round nine.
Key players & missing men

Avellino remain without Fila, though manager Bianco has had positive signs regarding squad availability ahead of the weekend. Pisa face notable selection problems, with Lusuardi, Frosali, and Buffon all ruled out, while Denoon and Tramoni require late fitness checks.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Avellino1.3
–
1.6Pisa
Season average total: 2.90 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Avellino winDrawPisa win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Pisa
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Avellino
1382
Pisa
1456

Pisa are the stronger side — 74 rating points clear of Avellino.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

AvellinoAvellinoPisaPisa
1.44Goals scored / game2.00
1.11Goals conceded / game1.44
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Avellino 9 games, Pisa 9 games.

AvellinoAvellinoPisaPisa
22%Games with a clean sheet22%
11%Games they failed to score11%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Pisa
0–1
Avellino
Avellino
1–0
Pisa
Form check

Their recent form.

Avellino
Avellino
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
Virtus EntellavAvellino
1–1
D
AvellinovPadova
0–1
L
CesenavAvellino
1–1
D
AvellinovSampdoria
4–1
W
AscolivAvellino
3–1
L
Pisa
Pisa
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
PisavPalermo
3–3
D
Hellas VeronavPisa
1–1
D
PisavCremonese
3–1
W
Vicenza VirtusvPisa
0–3
W
MantovavPisa
2–2
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie B (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
PalermoPalermo
9
7
2
0
+10
23
2
ModenaModena
9
6
1
2
+8
19
3
AscoliAscoli
9
5
3
1
+10
18
4
MantovaMantova
9
5
2
2
+4
17
5
BeneventoBenevento
9
4
3
2
+6
15
6
PisaPisa
9
4
3
2
+5
15
7
PadovaPadova
9
4
1
4
-1
13
8
SudtirolSudtirol
9
3
4
2
+1
13
9
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
9
3
3
3
+3
12
10
AvellinoAvellino
9
3
3
3
+3
12
11
CesenaCesena
9
2
5
2
-3
11
12
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella
9
2
4
3
+1
10
13
CarrareseCarrarese
9
3
1
5
-1
10
14
ArezzoArezzo
9
3
1
5
-10
10
15
CremoneseCremonese
9
2
3
4
-3
9
16
Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus
9
2
3
4
-5
9
17
Juve StabiaJuve Stabia
9
3
3
3
+0
8
18
EmpoliEmpoli
9
2
1
6
-7
7
19
SampdoriaSampdoria
9
1
2
6
-10
5
20
CatanzaroCatanzaro
9
1
2
6
-11
5