Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 18h
Serie B (Italy)
·
Avellino
Avellino
9th · 7 pts·LWWDL
vs
—
Sampdoria
Sampdoria
17th · 4 pts·DLLLW
The story

Avellino host Sampdoria as visitors battle extensive absences

Avellino look to bounce back on home soil against a Sampdoria side seeking momentum after a slow opening to the campaign.

Match news & current form

Avellino sit ninth with seven points after five matches, having recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats. They will be eager to recover at the Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi following a 3-1 away defeat against Ascoli last time out.

Sampdoria sit 17th with four points after five matches following a sluggish start to the campaign. They secured a much-needed 2-1 home victory over Catanzaro in their last outing, but enter this trip having lost three of their opening five league fixtures.

Head-to-head history

The recent head-to-head record is perfectly split across their two meetings in 2026. Avellino claimed a 2-1 home victory in January, while Sampdoria matched that scoreline with a 2-1 win of their own on home turf in March.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Both 2026 meetings between these two sides finished with 2-1 home wins.
  • Sampdoria have suffered three defeats across their opening five league games.
  • Avellino have recorded two wins and one draw in their last four matches prior to the defeat at Ascoli.
Key players & missing men

Sampdoria travel with a heavily depleted squad, missing the suspended Oliver Abildgaard alongside injured cohort Karim Diop, Nikola Sekulov, Francesco Conti, Mattia Viti, Danel Sinani, Salvatore Esposito, and Bjorn Meijer, with Tobias Lauritsen and Roberto Insigne likely leading the attack. Avellino are without Daniel Fila and Tommaso Cancellotti, while Lorenco Simic remains doubtful.

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We have published a signal on Avellino vs Sampdoria — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Avellino vs Sampdoria and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Avellino1.8
–
0.8Sampdoria
Season average total: 2.67 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Avellino winDrawSampdoria win
Market call
Double chance : Avellino or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Avellino
1382
Sampdoria
1391

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

AvellinoAvellinoSampdoriaSampdoria
1.40Goals scored / game1.00
1.20Goals conceded / game1.80
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Avellino 5 games, Sampdoria 5 games.

AvellinoAvellinoSampdoriaSampdoria
40%Games with a clean sheet0%
0%Games they failed to score20%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Sampdoria
2–1
Avellino
Avellino
2–1
Sampdoria
Form check

Their recent form.

Avellino
Avellino
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
AscolivAvellino
3–1
L
AvellinovPalermo
1–1
D
ModenavAvellino
0–1
W
AvellinovVicenza Virtus
3–0
W
AvellinovArezzo
1–2
L
Sampdoria
Sampdoria
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
SampdoriavCatanzaro
2–1
W
MantovavSampdoria
2–0
L
PalermovSampdoria
3–1
L
SampdoriavJuve Stabia
1–2
L
CesenavSampdoria
1–1
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie B (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
PalermoPalermo
5
4
1
0
+5
13
2
SudtirolSudtirol
5
3
2
0
+6
11
3
MantovaMantova
5
3
2
0
+5
11
4
ModenaModena
5
3
1
1
+4
10
5
AscoliAscoli
5
3
1
1
+3
10
6
PadovaPadova
5
2
1
2
-1
7
7
BeneventoBenevento
5
2
1
2
+1
7
8
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
5
2
1
2
+3
7
9
AvellinoAvellino
5
2
1
2
+1
7
10
CesenaCesena
5
1
4
0
+1
7
11
PisaPisa
5
2
1
2
+0
7
12
ArezzoArezzo
5
2
0
3
-7
6
13
EmpoliEmpoli
5
2
0
3
-2
6
14
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella
5
1
2
2
+1
5
15
CremoneseCremonese
5
1
2
2
-2
5
16
Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus
5
1
2
2
-3
5
17
SampdoriaSampdoria
5
1
1
3
-4
4
18
CatanzaroCatanzaro
5
1
0
4
-4
3
19
Juve StabiaJuve Stabia
5
1
2
2
-3
1
20
CarrareseCarrarese
5
0
1
4
-4
1