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Serie A (Brazil)
·
Bahia
Bahia
5th · 46 pts·WWWWL
vs
Botafogo
Botafogo
12th · 35 pts·LDDWL
The story

Ceni feels the heat as Botafogo eye Europe

An intense battle awaits at the Arena Fonte Nova as Bahia and Botafogo both look to close the gap on the European qualification spots.

Match news & current form

Bahia sit 8th on 23 pts, 3 points off the European places with 22 games left. However, manager Rogerio Ceni is under mounting pressure as his side desperately aims to end an eight-match winless run. Bahia's recent form (W0 D3 L2) has been plagued by defensive inconsistency, highlighted by a recent 3-2 defeat away to Coritiba and successive 2-2 draws against Sao Paulo and Santos.

Botafogo sit 10th on 22 pts, 4 points off the European places with 22 games left. The visitors arrive in Salvador in high spirits, boosted by securing the best overall record in the Copa Sudamericana group stage. Their domestic momentum is also steadier, including a convincing 3-1 victory over Corinthians in their recent run.

Head-to-head history

Bahia hold a historically strong record against Botafogo at the Arena Fonte Nova, winning nine of their previous 22 Brasileirao meetings in Salvador. The last time the two sides met at this stadium, Bahia secured a narrow 1-0 victory, though their current defensive struggles suggest a much more open encounter this time around.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Bahia are currently enduring a difficult eight-match winless run in all competitions.
  • Four of Bahia's last five league matches have featured over 2.5 goals due to ongoing defensive concentration issues.
  • Botafogo have shown improved resilience on the road, losing only one of their last five matches.
Key players & missing men

Bahia must cope without the injured Luciano Juba, Nicolas Acevedo, Ronaldo Strada, Ruan Pablo, and Leo Vieira. Botafogo's squad is also heavily depleted; Allan, Bastos, J. Correa, Junior Santos, Kaio Pantaleao, Nathan Fernandes, and Gabriel Abdias are all sidelined through injury, while Danilo is unavailable due to World Cup duty.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Bahia1.7
1.1Botafogo
Season average total: 2.79 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Bahia winDrawBotafogo win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Botafogo
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

BahiaBahiaBotafogoBotafogo
1.56Goals scored / game1.46
1.22Goals conceded / game1.61
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Bahia 27 games, Botafogo 28 games.

BahiaBahiaBotafogoBotafogo
30%Games with a clean sheet14%
11%Games they failed to score25%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Bahia
2–1
Botafogo
Botafogo
2–1
Bahia
Bahia
1–0
Botafogo
Bahia
0–0
Botafogo
Bahia
1–0
Botafogo
Form check

Their recent form.

Bahia
Bahia
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
Atletico ParanaensevBahia
2–1
L
BahiavRemo
2–1
W
RB BragantinovBahia
2–3
W
BahiavInternacional
3–2
W
VitoriavBahia
0–2
W
Botafogo
Botafogo
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
MirassolvBotafogo
2–0
L
BotafogovGremio
3–2
W
BotafogovRB Bragantino
1–1
D
BotafogovPalmeiras
0–0
D
FlamengovBotafogo
3–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
27
17
6
4
+31
57
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
28
16
9
3
+26
57
3
FluminenseFluminense
28
13
9
6
+8
48
4
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
27
13
7
7
+10
46
5
BahiaBahia
27
12
10
5
+9
46
6
CruzeiroCruzeiro
28
13
6
9
+2
45
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
27
11
7
9
+4
40
8
SantosSantos
27
10
8
9
+1
38
9
CoritibaCoritiba
28
10
8
10
-6
38
10
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
26
10
6
10
+3
36
11
Sao PauloSao Paulo
27
10
6
11
+2
36
12
BotafogoBotafogo
28
9
8
11
-4
35
13
VitoriaVitoria
28
9
6
13
-14
33
14
CorinthiansCorinthians
28
8
8
12
-3
32
15
MirassolMirassol
28
8
8
12
-9
32
16
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
27
8
7
12
-7
31
17
GremioGremio
28
7
8
13
-8
29
18
InternacionalInternacional
28
6
10
12
-6
28
19
RemoRemo
28
5
8
15
-15
23
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
27
3
9
15
-24
18