Winlytics.AI
Full time
Premier League (Russia)
·
Baltika
Baltika
7th · 17 pts·DLDDD
vs
—
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow
4th · 26 pts·WWDWL
The story

European aspirants Baltika host title-chasing Spartak in Kaliningrad

This clash features two sides separated by a single point as Baltika defend their continental qualification spot against a Spartak Moscow team desperate to stay within reach of the league leaders.

Match news & current form

Baltika enter this fixture sitting 4th in the table, currently occupying a continental qualification place. They have shown impressive momentum in recent weeks, securing back-to-back wins against Dynamo Moscow and Krylia Sovetov before a narrow 2-1 defeat to CSKA Moscow last time out. With 27 games still to play, maintaining this early-season form is vital for their European ambitions.

Spartak Moscow arrive in 3rd place, trailing the league leaders by three points. While they remain firmly in the title race, their momentum was halted by a 2-1 home loss to FC Krasnodar in their previous outing. Prior to that setback, the Muscovites had looked clinical, dispatching Rodina Moskva 3-0 and earning a gritty 2-1 away win at Akhmat.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Baltika have developed a habit of tight finishes, losing by exactly one goal in each of their last four Premier League defeats.
  • Spartak Moscow have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last two league matches following a dominant 3-0 start to August.
  • Both sides have identical records over their last three games (W2, L1), though Baltika have the advantage of playing at the Rostec Arena where they recently beat Dynamo.
Key players & missing men

The hosts will be forced to reshuffle their defensive options as A. Filin and M. Shnaptsev are both confirmed absentees. Spartak Moscow travel to Kaliningrad with a nearly full-strength squad, though they remain without D. Zorin, who is sidelined for this encounter.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Baltika vs Spartak Moscow — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Baltika vs Spartak Moscow and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Baltika1.2
–
1.5Spartak Moscow
Season average total: 2.63 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Baltika winDrawSpartak Moscow win
Market call
Double chance : Baltika or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Baltika
1485
Spartak Moscow
1551

Spartak Moscow are the stronger side — 66 rating points clear of Baltika.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

BaltikaBaltikaSpartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
1.31Goals scored / game1.92
1.08Goals conceded / game0.77
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Baltika 13 games, Spartak Moscow 13 games.

BaltikaBaltikaSpartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
31%Games with a clean sheet46%
23%Games they failed to score8%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Baltika
1–2
Spartak Moscow
Baltika
1–0
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow
0–3
Baltika
Baltika
1–0
Spartak Moscow
Baltika
0–2
Spartak Moscow
Form check

Their recent form.

Baltika
Baltika
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
0W · 4D · 1L
FC KrasnodarvBaltika
1–1
D
BaltikavFC Rostov
0–0
D
AkhmatvBaltika
0–0
D
BaltikavZenit
2–3
L
FakelvBaltika
2–2
D
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
CSKA MoscowvSpartak Moscow
2–0
L
Spartak MoscowvRubin
4–0
W
Krylia SovetovvSpartak Moscow
1–1
D
Spartak MoscowvFakel
1–0
W
Spartak MoscowvFC Rostov
3–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (Russia) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
ZenitZenit
13
10
0
3
+17
30
2
DynamoDynamo
13
9
1
3
+9
28
3
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
13
7
5
1
+9
26
4
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
13
8
2
3
+15
26
5
FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
13
6
5
2
+5
23
6
FC RostovFC Rostov
13
5
3
5
-1
18
7
BaltikaBaltika
13
4
5
4
+3
17
8
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
13
3
8
2
+2
17
9
Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
13
3
6
4
-3
15
10
RubinRubin
13
3
6
4
-5
15
11
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
13
4
1
8
-10
13
12
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
13
3
3
7
-13
12
13
AkronAkron
13
2
6
5
-7
12
14
LokomotivLokomotiv
13
2
5
6
-4
11
15
AkhmatAkhmat
13
2
5
6
-4
11
16
FakelFakel
13
1
3
9
-13
6