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Full time
Süper Lig (Turkey)
·
Başakşehir
Başakşehir
12th · 7 pts·LDLLW
vs
—
Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa
8th · 10 pts·WDDWD
The story

European chase intensifies as Başakşehir host inconsistent Kasımpaşa

Both sides sit within touching distance of the European places as they look to cement their top-half credentials in this early-season clash.

Match news & current form

Başakşehir enter this fixture 10th in the table, trailing the European spots by just one point. After a solid 2-0 home victory over Kocaelispor, they suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat away at Trabzonspor last time out. The Grey Owls are known for a disciplined defensive structure and rapid transitions, making them a formidable prospect at the Fatih Terim Stadyumu.

Kasımpaşa sit 7th and are currently level on points with the European qualification berths. They remain unbeaten in their last two outings, following up a 1-1 draw against Trabzonspor with a gritty 1-0 away win at Çorum FK. Despite their high league position, they have struggled for consistency against more organised, tactical opposition.

Head-to-head history

Historical data heavily favours the hosts, with Başakşehir recording 19 wins compared to just 6 for Kasımpaşa in their previous encounters. Recent meetings have been high-scoring, including a 4-1 victory for Başakşehir in May 2024, underlining their ability to exploit Kasımpaşa's defensive lapses.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Başakşehir have historically dominated this fixture, winning over 60% of all competitive meetings.
  • Kasımpaşa have shown recent away resilience, securing three victories on the road in their most recent travels.
  • The hosts have a reputation for consistency at home, frequently picking up points against direct rivals in the upper half of the table.
Key players & missing men

Kasımpaşa will be forced to reshuffle their defensive unit as K. Corekci is ruled out of the trip to the Fatih Terim Stadyumu. Başakşehir, meanwhile, report no fresh injury concerns and are expected to field a strong XI featuring the likes of Duarte and Shomurodov, who remain central to their tactical setup.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Başakşehir1.5
–
1.2Kasımpaşa
Season average total: 2.63 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Başakşehir winDrawKasımpaşa win
Market call
Double chance : Başakşehir or Draw
Goals forecast
Under 3.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Başakşehir
1520
Kasımpaşa
1383

Başakşehir are the stronger side — 137 rating points clear of Kasımpaşa.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

BaşakşehirBaşakşehirKasımpaşaKasımpaşa
1.67Goals scored / game1.17
1.83Goals conceded / game0.83
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Başakşehir 6 games, Kasımpaşa 6 games.

BaşakşehirBaşakşehirKasımpaşaKasımpaşa
33%Games with a clean sheet33%
17%Games they failed to score17%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Başakşehir
1–1
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
4–0
Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa
1–3
Başakşehir
Kasımpaşa
2–3
Başakşehir
Başakşehir
2–2
Kasımpaşa
Form check

Their recent form.

Başakşehir
Başakşehir
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
BaşakşehirvGençlerbirliği S.K.
4–0
W
AmedvBaşakşehir
5–0
L
BaşakşehirvGalatasaray
2–3
L
BaşakşehirvKasımpaşa
1–1
D
TrabzonsporvBaşakşehir
2–1
L
Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
KasımpaşavKonyaspor
0–0
D
Gençlerbirliği S.K.vKasımpaşa
1–2
W
KasımpaşavAmed
2–2
D
BaşakşehirvKasımpaşa
1–1
D
Çorum FKvKasımpaşa
0–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Süper Lig (Turkey) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
AmedAmed
6
4
1
1
+8
13
2
GalatasarayGalatasaray
6
4
1
1
+3
13
3
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
6
4
0
2
+7
12
4
KocaelisporKocaelispor
6
4
0
2
+3
12
5
AlanyasporAlanyaspor
6
3
2
1
+2
11
6
FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
6
3
1
2
+10
10
7
TrabzonsporTrabzonspor
6
3
1
2
+8
10
8
KasımpaşaKasımpaşa
6
2
4
0
+2
10
9
RizesporRizespor
6
3
1
2
+1
10
10
Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK
6
2
2
2
+0
8
11
Çorum FKÇorum FK
6
2
1
3
+1
7
12
BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
6
2
1
3
-1
7
13
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.
6
2
1
3
-8
7
14
Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK
6
2
1
3
-8
7
15
KonyasporKonyaspor
6
1
1
4
-4
4
16
SamsunsporSamsunspor
6
1
1
4
-6
4
17
GöztepeGöztepe
6
0
3
3
-4
3
18
EyüpsporEyüpspor
6
1
0
5
-14
3