Winlytics.AI
Full time
Süper Lig (Turkey)
·
Başakşehir
Başakşehir
12th · 7 pts·LDLLW
vs
Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor
4th · 12 pts·WWWLW
The story

Başakşehir target top half as Kocaelispor fight early drop

Başakşehir look to capitalise on Kocaelispor's offensive drought to climb toward the European places while the visitors battle to escape the relegation zone.

Match news & current form

Başakşehir enter this fixture 11th in the table and just zero points off the European places in these early stages of the campaign. Their recent form has been mixed but resilient, including a 2-1 victory over Red Bull Salzburg and a 2-0 win against Puskas Academy, though they will be looking to bounce back from a recent 2-0 defeat to Inter Turku.

Kocaelispor are currently languishing in 12th and find themselves inside the relegation zone. Their primary concern is a stagnant attack that has produced just two goals in their last five competitive outings. Recent results reflect this struggle, with 1-0 defeats to Antalyaspor, Fatih Karagümrük, and Gençlerbirliği leaving them without a win in five matches.

Head-to-head history

The recent historical record heavily favours the home side. Başakşehir have won the last two league meetings between these clubs, including a 1-0 victory in their most recent encounter in October 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Kocaelispor have failed to win any of their last five competitive matches.
  • Each of Kocaelispor's last five games has featured fewer than three goals.
  • Başakşehir have won two consecutive head-to-head matches against Kocaelispor.
  • Kocaelispor have scored only two goals across their last five fixtures.
Key players & missing men

Başakşehir will be without O. Kemen for this clash. The visitors, Kocaelispor, have a more significant injury list to contend with, missing A. Jovanovic, M. Susoho, and D. Agyei, further complicating their search for a much-needed goal.

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Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Başakşehir1.8
0.8Kocaelispor
Season average total: 2.63 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
50%
50%
0%
Başakşehir winDrawKocaelispor win
Market call
Double chance : Başakşehir or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Başakşehir
1520
Kocaelispor
1343

Başakşehir are the stronger side — 177 rating points clear of Kocaelispor.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

BaşakşehirBaşakşehirKocaelisporKocaelispor
1.67Goals scored / game1.17
1.83Goals conceded / game0.67
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Başakşehir 6 games, Kocaelispor 6 games.

BaşakşehirBaşakşehirKocaelisporKocaelispor
33%Games with a clean sheet50%
17%Games they failed to score33%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Başakşehir
2–0
Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor
0–0
Başakşehir
Başakşehir
1–0
Kocaelispor
Başakşehir
5–2
Kocaelispor
Başakşehir
3–1
Kocaelispor
Form check

Their recent form.

Başakşehir
Başakşehir
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
BaşakşehirvGençlerbirliği S.K.
4–0
W
AmedvBaşakşehir
5–0
L
BaşakşehirvGalatasaray
2–3
L
BaşakşehirvKasımpaşa
1–1
D
TrabzonsporvBaşakşehir
2–1
L
Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
KocaelisporvGaziantep FK
2–0
W
GalatasarayvKocaelispor
1–0
L
KocaelisporvSamsunspor
1–0
W
KonyasporvKocaelispor
1–2
W
KocaelisporvAmed
2–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Süper Lig (Turkey) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
AmedAmed
6
4
1
1
+8
13
2
GalatasarayGalatasaray
6
4
1
1
+3
13
3
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
6
4
0
2
+7
12
4
KocaelisporKocaelispor
6
4
0
2
+3
12
5
AlanyasporAlanyaspor
6
3
2
1
+2
11
6
FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
6
3
1
2
+10
10
7
TrabzonsporTrabzonspor
6
3
1
2
+8
10
8
KasımpaşaKasımpaşa
6
2
4
0
+2
10
9
RizesporRizespor
6
3
1
2
+1
10
10
Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK
6
2
2
2
+0
8
11
Çorum FKÇorum FK
6
2
1
3
+1
7
12
BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
6
2
1
3
-1
7
13
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.
6
2
1
3
-8
7
14
Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK
6
2
1
3
-8
7
15
KonyasporKonyaspor
6
1
1
4
-4
4
16
SamsunsporSamsunspor
6
1
1
4
-6
4
17
GöztepeGöztepe
6
0
3
3
-4
3
18
EyüpsporEyüpspor
6
1
0
5
-14
3