In-form Bologna host struggling Monza at Dall'Ara
Bologna look to turn their electric away form into a first home win of the season, while Monza attempt to stop a slide after a sluggish start.
Bologna sit 11th on 11 points after nine games, having quickly gained momentum under Raffaele Palladino following his arrival in September. The Rossoblu produced an exceptional midweek performance, stunning AC Milan 4-2 at San Siro behind a Samuel Mbangula hat-trick to record their third victory in five matches. Curiously, all three of Palladino's league wins have come on the road, leaving Bologna determined to secure their first league success at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.
Monza occupy 16th place on seven points after nine fixtures, having endured a slow start to the campaign under Ivan Juric. While they have delivered high-scoring outings like a 4-0 thrashing of Cagliari, defensive fragility remains an issue following consecutive defeats, most recently falling 3-2 away to Torino. Juric's men have lost three of their last four league matches and are seeking stability on their travels.
Our model vs the market’s price.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
1.9
Strength rating and xG.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Bologna are the stronger side — 157 rating points clear of Monza.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
BolognaMonzaGoals scored and conceded.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
BolognaMonzaWhole season, home and away combined — Bologna 9 games, Monza 9 games.
BolognaMonzaPast meetings.
Who’s out.
Their recent form.
Where they sit in the table.
Serie A (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.
