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Full time
Serie A (Brazil)
·
Botafogo
Botafogo
12th · 35 pts·LDDWL
vs
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
4th · 46 pts·WDLDW
The story

Botafogo eye continental spots as Paranaense chase title

A clash of contrasting ambitions sees 11th-placed Botafogo looking to bridge the gap to the European places while Atletico Paranaense aim to keep their title charge alive.

Match news & current form

Botafogo enter this fixture sitting 11th on 30 points, trailing the European qualification spots by just four points with 18 games remaining. Their momentum was slightly checked last week by a narrow 1-0 defeat away at Vitoria, but they remain tough to beat at home, recently securing a 2-1 victory over Santos and a 1-1 draw against Fluminense.

Atletico Paranaense are firmly in the title hunt, currently 3rd on 41 points and just seven points off the league leaders. They arrive in Rio de Janeiro on a five-match unbeaten run (W3, D2), though they were held to a 1-1 draw by RB Bragantino in their most recent outing. Their away form has been a highlight of this run, including a 2-0 victory at Santos and a 2-1 win at Sao Paulo.

Head-to-head history

History has recently favoured the visitors, with the last meeting between these two sides ending in a 1-0 victory for Atletico Paranaense. Across 23 historical meetings, the matchups have often been tightly contested, though Paranaense have managed to find a winning edge in recent seasons.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Botafogo have seen over 9.5 total corners in each of their last three home matches.
  • Atletico Paranaense have featured in high-corner games recently, with 80% of their last ten matches exceeding the 9.5 corner mark.
  • Paranaense are currently on a five-match unbeaten streak in Serie A.
  • Botafogo have won two of their last three matches against teams currently in the top half of the table.
Key players & missing men

Botafogo's squad depth will be tested with four confirmed absences: Arthur Cabral, Kaio Pantaleao, Paulinho, and J. Barrera are all unavailable for selection. Atletico Paranaense travel with a significant injury list of their own, missing Claudinho, L. Esquivel, Leo Derik, C. Teran, and Dudu Kogitzki, which may force tactical adjustments in their defensive line.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Botafogo1.6
1.4Atletico Paranaense
Season average total: 2.96 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Botafogo winDrawAtletico Paranaense win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Atletico Paranaense
Goals forecast
Under 3.5 goals
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

BotafogoBotafogoAtletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
1.46Goals scored / game1.54
1.61Goals conceded / game1.14
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Botafogo 28 games, Atletico Paranaense 28 games.

BotafogoBotafogoAtletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
14%Games with a clean sheet29%
25%Games they failed to score21%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Botafogo
2–3
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
4–1
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
0–1
Botafogo
Botafogo
1–1
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
1–1
Atletico Paranaense
Form check

Their recent form.

Botafogo
Botafogo
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
MirassolvBotafogo
2–0
L
BotafogovGremio
3–2
W
BotafogovRB Bragantino
1–1
D
BotafogovPalmeiras
0–0
D
FlamengovBotafogo
3–0
L
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Atletico ParanaensevBahia
2–1
W
CoritibavAtletico Paranaense
3–3
D
CruzeirovAtletico Paranaense
3–1
L
Atletico ParanaensevFluminense
3–3
D
BotafogovAtletico Paranaense
2–3
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
27
17
6
4
+31
57
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
28
16
9
3
+26
57
3
FluminenseFluminense
28
13
9
6
+8
48
4
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
27
13
7
7
+10
46
5
BahiaBahia
27
12
10
5
+9
46
6
CruzeiroCruzeiro
28
13
6
9
+2
45
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
27
11
7
9
+4
40
8
SantosSantos
27
10
8
9
+1
38
9
CoritibaCoritiba
28
10
8
10
-6
38
10
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
26
10
6
10
+3
36
11
Sao PauloSao Paulo
27
10
6
11
+2
36
12
BotafogoBotafogo
28
9
8
11
-4
35
13
VitoriaVitoria
28
9
6
13
-14
33
14
CorinthiansCorinthians
28
8
8
12
-3
32
15
MirassolMirassol
28
8
8
12
-9
32
16
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
27
8
7
12
-7
31
17
GremioGremio
28
7
8
13
-8
29
18
InternacionalInternacional
28
6
10
12
-6
28
19
RemoRemo
28
5
8
15
-15
23
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
27
3
9
15
-24
18