A clash of contrasting ambitions sees 11th-placed Botafogo looking to bridge the gap to the European places while Atletico Paranaense aim to keep their title charge alive.
Botafogo enter this fixture sitting 11th on 30 points, trailing the European qualification spots by just four points with 18 games remaining. Their momentum was slightly checked last week by a narrow 1-0 defeat away at Vitoria, but they remain tough to beat at home, recently securing a 2-1 victory over Santos and a 1-1 draw against Fluminense.
Atletico Paranaense are firmly in the title hunt, currently 3rd on 41 points and just seven points off the league leaders. They arrive in Rio de Janeiro on a five-match unbeaten run (W3, D2), though they were held to a 1-1 draw by RB Bragantino in their most recent outing. Their away form has been a highlight of this run, including a 2-0 victory at Santos and a 2-1 win at Sao Paulo.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Botafogo 28 games, Atletico Paranaense 28 games.
Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.