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Full time
Serie A (Brazil)
·
Botafogo
Botafogo
12th · 35 pts·LDDWL
vs
Fluminense
Fluminense
3rd · 48 pts·WDWLW
The story

Clássico Vovô stakes high as Botafogo eye European spots

This historic derby at the Nilton Santos sees eighth-placed Botafogo looking to break into the European spots against a Fluminense side clinging to fourth.

Match news & current form

Botafogo enter this clash sitting eighth on 29 points, just two points adrift of the European qualification places with 20 games remaining. They have established themselves as a difficult side to break down, losing only one of their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a disciplined 1-0 away victory over Cruzeiro, following a scoreless draw with Vitoria at home.

Fluminense occupy fourth place with 34 points but have seen their momentum stall significantly. The visitors have failed to win any of their last five matches, recording four consecutive draws against Bahia, Gremio, RB Bragantino, and Cruzeiro. With 19 games left to play, their hold on a continental spot is under threat if they cannot convert these stalemates into victories.

Head-to-head history

The Clássico Vovô has recently been dominated by the home side; Botafogo have won four of the last five meetings hosted at the Nilton Santos. Historically, this fixture has been a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 goals scored in each of the last seven league encounters between these two rivals.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Botafogo have avoided defeat in 17 of their last 20 matches across all competitions.
  • Fluminense have recorded four draws in their last five league matches.
  • Botafogo are undefeated in 81% of their last 16 home fixtures.
  • Fluminense have won just one of their last eight Brasileiro Serie A matches.
Key players & missing men

Botafogo will be without Allan, Junior Santos, Kaio Pantaleao, and Alex Telles for this derby. Fluminense face a significant defensive void as veteran leader Thiago Silva is sidelined, joining J. Freytes, Matheus Reis, J. Millan, and John Kennedy on the list of absentees.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Botafogo1.6
1.4Fluminense
Season average total: 3.07 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Botafogo winDrawFluminense win
Market call
Double chance : Botafogo or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

BotafogoBotafogoFluminenseFluminense
1.46Goals scored / game1.57
1.61Goals conceded / game1.29
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Botafogo 28 games, Fluminense 28 games.

BotafogoBotafogoFluminenseFluminense
14%Games with a clean sheet18%
25%Games they failed to score11%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Botafogo
1–1
Fluminense
Fluminense
1–0
Botafogo
Botafogo
0–1
Fluminense
Fluminense
2–0
Botafogo
Botafogo
2–0
Fluminense
Form check

Their recent form.

Botafogo
Botafogo
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
MirassolvBotafogo
2–0
L
BotafogovGremio
3–2
W
BotafogovRB Bragantino
1–1
D
BotafogovPalmeiras
0–0
D
FlamengovBotafogo
3–0
L
Fluminense
Fluminense
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
CorinthiansvFluminense
1–3
W
Atletico-MGvFluminense
3–1
L
FluminensevVasco DA Gama
1–0
W
Atletico ParanaensevFluminense
3–3
D
FluminensevRemo
2–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
27
17
6
4
+31
57
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
28
16
9
3
+26
57
3
FluminenseFluminense
28
13
9
6
+8
48
4
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
27
13
7
7
+10
46
5
BahiaBahia
27
12
10
5
+9
46
6
CruzeiroCruzeiro
28
13
6
9
+2
45
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
27
11
7
9
+4
40
8
SantosSantos
27
10
8
9
+1
38
9
CoritibaCoritiba
28
10
8
10
-6
38
10
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
26
10
6
10
+3
36
11
Sao PauloSao Paulo
27
10
6
11
+2
36
12
BotafogoBotafogo
28
9
8
11
-4
35
13
VitoriaVitoria
28
9
6
13
-14
33
14
CorinthiansCorinthians
28
8
8
12
-3
32
15
MirassolMirassol
28
8
8
12
-9
32
16
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
27
8
7
12
-7
31
17
GremioGremio
28
7
8
13
-8
29
18
InternacionalInternacional
28
6
10
12
-6
28
19
RemoRemo
28
5
8
15
-15
23
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
27
3
9
15
-24
18