Bournemouth aim to translate early-season leads into three points against a Brentford side currently occupying the final Europa League place.
Bournemouth sit 15th on two points after three games, having seen leads evaporate in each of their opening fixtures. Despite a slow start in the league, the Cherries enter this contest following a dominant 4-0 EFL Cup victory over Lincoln City, where Ryan Christie netted a hat-trick to provide a much-needed boost for Rose's side.
Brentford occupy 5th place and the last Europa League spot with five points from a possible nine. Under head coach Keith Andrews, the Bees have maintained a relentless work rate, recording the third-highest proportion of high-intensity pressures in the division. They are currently on a four-match unbeaten run across all competitions following a 1-1 draw with Sunderland.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Bournemouth are the stronger side — 35 rating points clear of Brentford.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Bournemouth 5 games, Brentford 5 games.
Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.