Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 1d 2h
Premier League (England)
·
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
13th · 9 pts·DLLWW
vs
—
Leeds
Leeds
7th · 11 pts·WDLDD
The story

Bournemouth host Leeds aiming to extend strong form

Separated by just two points after eight games, Bournemouth welcome Leeds United to the Vitality Stadium with both teams seeking to build early-season momentum.

Match news & current form

Marco Rose's Bournemouth sit 13th on 9 points after 8 games, having turned their early fortunes around in emphatic fashion. The Cherries arrive on a run of five consecutive victories in all competitions without conceding a single goal, moving within striking distance of the top half after beating Sunderland 2-0 in their last league outing.

Daniel Farke's Leeds sit 7th on 11 points after 8 games, having made a solid start built largely on defensive discipline. However, Leeds have found wins hard to convert on the road and are currently on a four-match winless streak away from home, having drawn 1-1 with Manchester United and 0-0 with Crystal Palace in recent weeks.

Head-to-head history

Recent clashes between these sides have produced high-scoring affairs, featuring back-to-back 2-2 draws in September 2025 and April 2026. Across their last four Premier League meetings, the fixtures have generated a combined total of 20 goals, including a 4-1 Bournemouth victory at Dean Court in April 2023.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Bournemouth have won five consecutive matches across all competitions without conceding a goal.
  • Bournemouth are bidding to win three consecutive Premier League games without conceding for the very first time.
  • Leeds United are on a run of four consecutive away matches without a win.
  • Five of Leeds' opening eight Premier League matches this season have ended in draws.
  • Daniel Farke has faced Bournemouth eight times as a manager, recording two wins, three draws, and three defeats.
Key players & missing men

Bournemouth will be without J. Araujo, A. Scott, and A. Toth. Leeds travel south without M. Joseph, J. Rodon, N. Elvedi, and D. James, leaving Farke to reshuffle his backline against a free-scoring Cherries attack.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Bournemouth vs Leeds — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Bournemouth vs Leeds and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Bournemouth1.0
–
0.9Leeds
Season average total: 1.88 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Bournemouth winDrawLeeds win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Leeds
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Bournemouth
1872
Leeds
1797

Bournemouth are the stronger side — 75 rating points clear of Leeds.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

BournemouthBournemouth
Goals scored
1.40
Expected (xG)
1.98
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
LeedsLeeds
Goals scored
1.00
Expected (xG)
1.36
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

BournemouthBournemouthLeedsLeeds
1.50Goals scored / game1.13
1.63Goals conceded / game0.75
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Bournemouth 8 games, Leeds 8 games.

BournemouthBournemouthLeedsLeeds
25%Games with a clean sheet38%
13%Games they failed to score25%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Bournemouth
2–2
Leeds
Leeds
2–2
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
4–1
Leeds
Leeds
4–3
Bournemouth
Leeds
1–0
Bournemouth
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Bournemouth
J. Araujo
Out · Thigh Injury
Bournemouth
A. Scott
Out · Thigh Injury
Bournemouth
A. Toth
Out · Muscle Injury
Leeds
M. Joseph
Out · Knee Injury
Form check

Their recent form.

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Manchester UnitedvBournemouth
0–3
W
BournemouthvSunderland
2–0
W
ChelseavBournemouth
5–1
L
BournemouthvLiverpool
0–1
L
BournemouthvBrentford
2–2
D
Leeds
Leeds
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 3D · 1L
SunderlandvLeeds
0–0
D
LeedsvManchester United
1–1
D
ArsenalvLeeds
2–1
L
LeedsvCrystal Palace
0–0
D
LeedsvNewcastle
4–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Manchester CityManchester City
8
7
0
1
+11
21
2
ArsenalArsenal
8
7
0
1
+8
21
3
BrightonBrighton
8
5
1
2
+16
16
4
LiverpoolLiverpool
8
4
3
1
+3
15
5
ChelseaChelsea
8
4
1
3
+2
13
6
BrentfordBrentford
8
2
5
1
+5
11
7
LeedsLeeds
8
2
5
1
+3
11
8
NewcastleNewcastle
8
3
2
3
-2
11
9
Aston VillaAston Villa
8
3
2
3
-3
11
10
Hull CityHull City
8
2
4
2
+1
10
11
EvertonEverton
8
2
4
2
-1
10
12
IpswichIpswich
8
3
1
4
-4
10
13
BournemouthBournemouth
8
2
3
3
-1
9
14
TottenhamTottenham
8
2
3
3
-2
9
15
FulhamFulham
8
2
2
4
-2
8
16
Manchester UnitedManchester United
8
1
4
3
-3
7
17
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
8
2
1
5
-10
7
18
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
8
1
3
4
-4
6
19
CoventryCoventry
8
2
0
6
-9
6
20
SunderlandSunderland
8
1
2
5
-8
5