Winlytics.AI
Full time
Premier League (England)
·
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
17th · 3 pts·LDDDL
vs
Liverpool
Liverpool
6th · 9 pts
The story

Winless Bournemouth host Liverpool following recent home success

Bournemouth search for their first league victory of the campaign as they welcome a Liverpool side looking to maintain their unbeaten start.

Match news & current form

Bournemouth sit 16th with 3 points after four games and are still looking for their first Premier League win of the season. Despite the lack of three points, Andoni Iraola’s side has shown resilience, leading in all four matches played so far. They enter this fixture following three consecutive draws against Everton, Newcastle, and Brentford, alongside a narrow opening-day loss at Manchester City.

Liverpool occupy 8th place with 6 points after four matches, remaining unbeaten with one win and three draws. Marco Rose's side recently played out a 0-0 draw against Fulham, following a 2-0 victory at Ipswich. While they have been solid defensively, the Reds have seen their scoring rate slow down, producing only two goals across their last two outings.

Head-to-head history

Bournemouth claimed a 3-2 victory in the most recent meeting between these sides in January 2026. While Liverpool had won six successive meetings prior to that defeat, the South Coast has proven a tricky destination, though the Reds have historically won nine of their 12 visits to the Vitality Stadium.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Bournemouth have led in all four of their Premier League matches this season but are yet to record a win.
  • The last 10 meetings between these two clubs have produced a total of 40 goals.
  • Marcus Tavernier has been in clinical form, scoring three goals in his first four league appearances this term.
  • Liverpool remain unbeaten in the league this season but have drawn three of their opening four fixtures.
Key players & missing men

Marcus Tavernier is the standout threat for the hosts, having already netted three times this season. Bournemouth will be without A. Adli, J. Araujo, E. J. Kroupi, and V. Milosavljevic. Liverpool travel without Federico Chiesa, Harvey Ekitike, Conor Bradley, and G. Leoni, though Dominik Szoboszlai remains a key creative hub in midfield.

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We have published a signal on Bournemouth vs Liverpool — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Bournemouth vs Liverpool and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Bournemouth0.8
1.5Liverpool
Season average total: 2.33 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Bournemouth winDrawLiverpool win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Liverpool
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Bournemouth
1872
Liverpool
1911

Liverpool are the stronger side — 39 rating points clear of Bournemouth.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

BournemouthBournemouth
Goals scored
1.40
Expected (xG)
1.64
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
LiverpoolLiverpool
Goals scored
1.60
Expected (xG)
1.59
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

BournemouthBournemouthLiverpoolLiverpool
1.20Goals scored / game1.40
1.60Goals conceded / game0.80
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Bournemouth 5 games, Liverpool 5 games.

BournemouthBournemouthLiverpoolLiverpool
0%Games with a clean sheet60%
20%Games they failed to score20%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Bournemouth
0–1
Liverpool
Bournemouth
3–2
Liverpool
Liverpool
4–2
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
0–2
Liverpool
Liverpool
3–0
Bournemouth
Form check

Their recent form.

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
0W · 3D · 2L
BournemouthvLiverpool
0–1
L
BournemouthvBrentford
2–2
D
NewcastlevBournemouth
2–2
D
BournemouthvEverton
1–1
D
Manchester CityvBournemouth
2–1
L
Liverpool
Liverpool
Liverpool — recent form not recorded.
Last 5

No recent matches recorded.

League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Manchester CityManchester City
5
5
0
0
+8
15
2
ArsenalArsenal
5
4
0
1
+4
12
3
BrightonBrighton
5
3
1
1
+11
10
4
BrentfordBrentford
5
2
3
0
+6
9
5
LeedsLeeds
5
2
3
0
+4
9
6
LiverpoolLiverpool
5
2
3
0
+3
9
7
EvertonEverton
5
2
3
0
+3
9
8
Hull CityHull City
5
2
2
1
+2
8
9
NewcastleNewcastle
5
2
2
1
+0
8
10
ChelseaChelsea
5
2
1
2
-2
7
11
IpswichIpswich
5
2
0
3
-4
6
12
Manchester UnitedManchester United
5
1
2
2
+0
5
13
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
5
1
2
2
-1
5
14
SunderlandSunderland
5
1
1
3
-4
4
15
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
5
1
1
3
-5
4
16
Aston VillaAston Villa
5
1
1
3
-5
4
17
BournemouthBournemouth
5
0
3
2
-2
3
18
CoventryCoventry
5
1
0
4
-9
3
19
FulhamFulham
5
0
2
3
-3
2
20
TottenhamTottenham
5
0
2
3
-6
2