Winlytics.AI
Full time
Eliteserien (Norway)
·
Brann
Brann
7th · 29 pts·WDLLW
vs
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
5th · 33 pts·WLWWW
The story

European chase intensifies as resurgent Rosenborg visit Brann

Separated by just one point in the table, both sides are desperate to close the narrow gap on the Eliteserien European places.

Match news & current form

Brann enter this clash sitting 9th on 19 points, just two points off the European spots with 15 games remaining. They arrive with mixed momentum, having secured a morale-boosting 5-3 aggregate win over Universitate Cluj in the Conference League qualifiers, though they suffered a defeat in their most recent Eliteserien outing. With a crucial European tie against Apollon looming just three days after this fixture, squad rotation could be a factor.

Rosenborg have undergone a dramatic transformation since sacking their coach, winning three consecutive matches while scoring three or more goals in each. Now 10th on 18 points, they are only three points adrift of the European places and possess a game in hand over Brann. Their recent 4-0 demolition of Fredrikstad highlights a side playing with newfound offensive freedom.

Head-to-head history

Brann have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture recently, winning six of the last ten meetings compared to just one victory for Rosenborg. The reverse fixture earlier this season ended in a 1-1 draw, a match where Brann controlled possession but Rosenborg were noted as the more dangerous side on the break.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Rosenborg have scored 3+ goals in each of their last three league matches following their managerial change.
  • Brann have failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 consecutive matches across all competitions.
  • Six of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these sides have produced three or more goals.
  • Rosenborg have won four of their last five outings, a significant upturn after a difficult start to the campaign.
Key players & missing men

Brann will be without N. Boakye, S. Opsahl, and J. Torsvik, which may stretch their defensive options during a congested fixture period. Rosenborg travel without D. Islamovic and S. Nordli, though their recent scoring spree suggests they have found solutions in attack during their absences.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Brann vs Rosenborg — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Brann vs Rosenborg and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Brann1.8
1.3Rosenborg
Season average total: 3.08 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Brann winDrawRosenborg win
Market call
Double chance : Brann or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Brann
1528
Rosenborg
1428

Brann are the stronger side — 100 rating points clear of Rosenborg.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

BrannBrannRosenborgRosenborg
1.86Goals scored / game1.86
1.52Goals conceded / game1.43
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Brann 21 games, Rosenborg 21 games.

BrannBrannRosenborgRosenborg
14%Games with a clean sheet33%
14%Games they failed to score29%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Brann
3–2
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
1–1
Brann
Rosenborg
2–3
Brann
Brann
0–0
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
1–2
Brann
Form check

Their recent form.

Brann
Brann
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
BrannvBodo/Glimt
2–1
W
StartvBrann
2–0
L
BrannvLillestrom
1–2
L
SandefjordvBrann
0–0
D
BrannvHam-Kam
3–0
W
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
Kristiansund BKvRosenborg
1–3
W
RosenborgvTromso
5–3
W
RosenborgvHam-Kam
4–0
W
Bodo/GlimtvRosenborg
4–2
L
RosenborgvViking
2–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eliteserien (Norway) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
VikingViking
21
16
2
3
+34
50
2
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
21
16
2
3
+34
50
3
TromsoTromso
21
11
5
5
+11
38
4
MoldeMolde
21
11
3
7
+12
36
5
RosenborgRosenborg
21
10
3
8
+9
33
6
LillestromLillestrom
21
10
2
9
-1
32
7
BrannBrann
21
9
2
10
+7
29
8
FredrikstadFredrikstad
21
8
4
9
-7
28
9
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
21
6
7
8
-5
25
10
KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
21
7
4
10
-10
25
11
SandefjordSandefjord
21
6
5
10
-6
23
12
ValerengaValerenga
21
6
5
10
-9
23
13
Ham-KamHam-Kam
21
6
5
10
-15
23
14
AalesundAalesund
21
4
9
8
-13
21
15
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
21
5
4
12
-19
19
16
StartStart
21
4
4
13
-22
16