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Eliteserien (Norway)
·
Brann
Brann
7th · 29 pts·WDLLW
vs
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sarpsborg 08 FF
9th · 25 pts·LDDDL
The story

Brann seek home comfort to close European gap

Brann return to Bergen looking to reignite their European charge against a Sarpsborg side desperate to build on a shock win over Molde.

Match news & current form

Brann sit 8th on 13 points, just three points off the European places with 19 games remaining. They return to the Brann Stadion after back-to-back road reversals, most recently a 3-1 defeat at Bodo/Glimt and a 2-1 loss at Aalesund. However, their home momentum is strong, having secured consecutive victories in Bergen against KFUM Oslo and Fredrikstad.

Sarpsborg 08 FF occupy 9th place on 11 points, five points adrift of the European spots. Even Sel’s side secured a morale-boosting 2-1 win against Molde last weekend, but their away form has been disastrous. The visitors have lost four consecutive away Eliteserien encounters, including a heavy 4-0 defeat at Lillestrom and a 2-3 loss at Valerenga.

Head-to-head history

Brann have held the upper hand in this fixture recently, winning four of the ten competitive meetings since 2020, while Sarpsborg have managed just two wins in that period. High-scoring affairs are common; Brann have seen over 2.5 goals in all but one of their last eight fixtures against Sarpsborg, including a 4-1 away victory last season.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Sarpsborg have lost each of their last four away Eliteserien encounters.
  • Brann have seen over 2.5 goals scored in eight of their last nine matches.
  • Brann have won their last two home matches at Brann Stadion.
  • Sarpsborg have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last four away league games.
Key players & missing men

Anders Hiim is the man in form for Sarpsborg after his first goal of the season secured the win over Molde, while Daniel Karlsbakk also remains a threat. Brann are dealing with a significant injury list, missing first-choice goalkeeper Mathias Dyngeland alongside Denzel De Roeve, Sakarias Opsahl, and Eggert Aron Gudmundsson. Sarpsborg travel without Jo Inge Berget and Stefan Rosted.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Brann1.7
1.3Sarpsborg 08 FF
Season average total: 2.96 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Brann winDrawSarpsborg 08 FF win
Market call
Winner : Brann
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Brann
1528
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1403

Brann are the stronger side — 125 rating points clear of Sarpsborg 08 FF.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

BrannBrannSarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
1.86Goals scored / game1.14
1.52Goals conceded / game1.38
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Brann 21 games, Sarpsborg 08 FF 21 games.

BrannBrannSarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
14%Games with a clean sheet24%
14%Games they failed to score24%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Brann
1–2
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–4
Brann
Brann
2–2
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Brann
1–3
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–1
Brann
Form check

Their recent form.

Brann
Brann
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
BrannvBodo/Glimt
2–1
W
StartvBrann
2–0
L
BrannvLillestrom
1–2
L
SandefjordvBrann
0–0
D
BrannvHam-Kam
3–0
W
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
0W · 3D · 2L
Sarpsborg 08 FFvKFUM Oslo
1–3
L
FredrikstadvSarpsborg 08 FF
1–1
D
Sarpsborg 08 FFvValerenga
2–2
D
TromsovSarpsborg 08 FF
0–0
D
Sarpsborg 08 FFvSandefjord
1–2
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eliteserien (Norway) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
VikingViking
21
16
2
3
+34
50
2
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
21
16
2
3
+34
50
3
TromsoTromso
21
11
5
5
+11
38
4
MoldeMolde
21
11
3
7
+12
36
5
RosenborgRosenborg
21
10
3
8
+9
33
6
LillestromLillestrom
21
10
2
9
-1
32
7
BrannBrann
21
9
2
10
+7
29
8
FredrikstadFredrikstad
21
8
4
9
-7
28
9
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
21
6
7
8
-5
25
10
KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
21
7
4
10
-10
25
11
SandefjordSandefjord
21
6
5
10
-6
23
12
ValerengaValerenga
21
6
5
10
-9
23
13
Ham-KamHam-Kam
21
6
5
10
-15
23
14
AalesundAalesund
21
4
9
8
-13
21
15
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
21
5
4
12
-19
19
16
StartStart
21
4
4
13
-22
16