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Eliteserien (Norway)
·
Brann
Brann
7th · 29 pts·WDLLW
vs
Valerenga
Valerenga
12th · 23 pts·DLDLD
The story

Brann eye European surge against travel-weary Valerenga

A European qualification battle takes centre stage as sixth-placed Brann look to extend their two-point lead over a Valerenga side desperate to break into the top six.

Match news & current form

SK Brann appear to have turned a corner under Eirik Horneland, entering this fixture on the back of two consecutive 2-1 victories over Molde and Start. Currently holding a continental place with 16 games remaining, the hosts have recovered from a poor May run of three straight defeats to climb back into the top six. However, Horneland must manage a testing schedule following a midweek Conference League qualifier.

Valerenga travel to Bergen sitting ninth but only two points behind their hosts. While they boosted confidence with a dominant 6-1 thrashing of Aalesund last time out, their away form remains a significant concern. Having lost twice in their last five league outings, including a heavy 4-0 defeat at Tromso, the visitors need a result to stay within touching distance of the European places.

Head-to-head history

Historical data favors the hosts in this specific venue, with Brann securing a victory in their most recent home meeting while Valerenga have struggled to find a win on their travels to Bergen in recent encounters.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Valerenga have been trailing at both half-time and full-time in each of their last three away Eliteserien matches.
  • SK Brann have won half of their last six home matches in the league.
  • Valerenga have managed only one victory in their last 11 away league fixtures.
  • Brann are seeking a third consecutive Eliteserien win for the first time since their mid-season turnaround.
Key players & missing men

Brann will be without N. Boakye and S. Opsahl, forcing Horneland to potentially rotate his squad following their midweek continental exploits. Valerenga arrive with several notable absences, as O. T. Holm, M. Sjoeng, and O. Saeter are all unavailable for the trip to Brann Stadion.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Brann vs Valerenga and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Brann2.1
1.4Valerenga
Season average total: 3.53 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Brann winDrawValerenga win
Market call
Double chance : Brann or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Brann
1528
Valerenga
1377

Brann are the stronger side — 151 rating points clear of Valerenga.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

BrannBrannValerengaValerenga
1.86Goals scored / game1.62
1.52Goals conceded / game2.05
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Brann 21 games, Valerenga 21 games.

BrannBrannValerengaValerenga
14%Games with a clean sheet10%
14%Games they failed to score33%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Brann
2–3
Valerenga
Brann
3–2
Valerenga
Valerenga
2–4
Brann
Brann
2–1
Valerenga
Brann
3–0
Valerenga
Form check

Their recent form.

Brann
Brann
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
BrannvBodo/Glimt
2–1
W
StartvBrann
2–0
L
BrannvLillestrom
1–2
L
SandefjordvBrann
0–0
D
BrannvHam-Kam
3–0
W
Valerenga
Valerenga
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
0W · 3D · 2L
ValerengavFredrikstad
1–1
D
LillestromvValerenga
2–0
L
Sarpsborg 08 FFvValerenga
2–2
D
ValerengavMolde
3–4
L
AalesundvValerenga
5–5
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eliteserien (Norway) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
VikingViking
21
16
2
3
+34
50
2
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
21
16
2
3
+34
50
3
TromsoTromso
21
11
5
5
+11
38
4
MoldeMolde
21
11
3
7
+12
36
5
RosenborgRosenborg
21
10
3
8
+9
33
6
LillestromLillestrom
21
10
2
9
-1
32
7
BrannBrann
21
9
2
10
+7
29
8
FredrikstadFredrikstad
21
8
4
9
-7
28
9
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
21
6
7
8
-5
25
10
KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
21
7
4
10
-10
25
11
SandefjordSandefjord
21
6
5
10
-6
23
12
ValerengaValerenga
21
6
5
10
-9
23
13
Ham-KamHam-Kam
21
6
5
10
-15
23
14
AalesundAalesund
21
4
9
8
-13
21
15
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
21
5
4
12
-19
19
16
StartStart
21
4
4
13
-22
16