Seventh-placed Brentford look to preserve their unbeaten start against a Chelsea side transformed into the league’s most prolific entertainers under Xabi Alonso.
Brentford sit 7th with 6 points after four games, maintaining an unbeaten start to the campaign (W1, D3). Keith Andrews' side comes into this fixture following three consecutive draws in the league, most recently a 2-2 at Bournemouth, though they secured a 1-2 cup win against Reading in midweek. The Bees have been aggressive in front of goal, ranking third in the division for shots per 90 minutes.
Chelsea occupy 6th place with 7 points, just one ahead of their hosts. New manager Xabi Alonso has overseen a highly volatile start; while the Blues lead the league for shots on target, they have picked up just one point from their last two matches following a 2-1 loss to Arsenal and a 2-2 draw with Hull City. Alonso’s tenure has been defined by goals, with 19 scored at either end across his first four Premier League games.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Evenly matched on rating.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Brentford 5 games, Chelsea 5 games.
Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.