Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 20h
Premier League (England)
·
Brentford
Brentford
4th · 10 pts·DDDWD
vs
—
Liverpool
Liverpool
9th · 9 pts·DWDWL
The story

Brentford host Liverpool with both sides close in table

Fourth-placed Brentford welcome ninth-placed Liverpool to the Gtech Community Stadium with just one point separating the sides after six games.

Match news & current form

Brentford sit 4th on 10 points after six games following a strong start to the campaign. The Bees are unbeaten in their last five league outings (W2, D3), a sequence highlighted by a 3-0 home victory over Chelsea and an emphatic 3-0 win against Tottenham. They have spread their output effectively across the squad, with nine different goalscorers already finding the net in the top flight.

Liverpool sit 9th on 9 points after six games, still finding their feet in the final third under new boss Andoni Iraola. While the Reds have claimed shutouts against Ipswich (2-0) and Bournemouth (1-0), they have struggled to generate high-quality chances, creating a league-low nine big chances so far.

Head-to-head history

Recent clashes between these two sides have been fiercely contested. The most recent meeting finished 1-1 at Anfield in May 2026, while the previous fixture in west London in October 2025 saw Brentford claim a thrilling 3-2 victory over the Reds.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Brentford have not lost in the Premier League since 9 May against Manchester City.
  • The last five meetings between Brentford and Liverpool at the Gtech Community Stadium have produced 17 goals.
  • Both Brentford and Liverpool are among only four top-flight teams yet to concede from a set-piece this season.
  • Former Liverpool goalkeeper Caoimhín Kelleher has made 10 saves from outside the box this season, more than any other top-flight goalkeeper.
Key players & missing men

Kristoffer Ajer and Yehor Yarmoliuk both recently opened their league accounts for Brentford, but Liverpool face major selection problems. The visitors must navigate this trip without the suspended Ryan Gravenberch, while Dominik Szoboszlai, Cody Gakpo, and Alexander Isak are all sidelined through injury.

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We have published a signal on Brentford vs Liverpool — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Brentford vs Liverpool and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Brentford1.5
–
1.0Liverpool
Season average total: 2.50 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Brentford winDrawLiverpool win
Market call
Double chance : Brentford or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Brentford
1837
Liverpool
1911

Liverpool are the stronger side — 74 rating points clear of Brentford.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

BrentfordBrentford
Goals scored
1.80
Expected (xG)
1.77
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
LiverpoolLiverpool
Goals scored
1.30
Expected (xG)
1.52
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

BrentfordBrentfordLiverpoolLiverpool
2.00Goals scored / game1.17
1.00Goals conceded / game1.17
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Brentford 6 games, Liverpool 6 games.

BrentfordBrentfordLiverpoolLiverpool
33%Games with a clean sheet50%
0%Games they failed to score33%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Liverpool
1–1
Brentford
Brentford
3–2
Liverpool
Brentford
0–2
Liverpool
Liverpool
2–0
Brentford
Brentford
1–4
Liverpool
Form check

Their recent form.

Brentford
Brentford
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 4D · 0L
Aston VillavBrentford
2–2
D
BrentfordvChelsea
3–0
W
BournemouthvBrentford
2–2
D
BrentfordvSunderland
1–1
D
LeedsvBrentford
1–1
D
Liverpool
Liverpool
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
LiverpoolvManchester City
0–3
L
BournemouthvLiverpool
0–1
W
LiverpoolvFulham
0–0
D
IpswichvLiverpool
0–2
W
LiverpoolvNottingham Forest
2–2
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Manchester CityManchester City
6
6
0
0
+11
18
2
ArsenalArsenal
6
5
0
1
+5
15
3
BrightonBrighton
6
4
1
1
+13
13
4
BrentfordBrentford
6
2
4
0
+6
10
5
EvertonEverton
6
2
4
0
+3
10
6
ChelseaChelsea
6
3
1
2
+2
10
7
LeedsLeeds
6
2
3
1
+3
9
8
Hull CityHull City
6
2
3
1
+2
9
9
LiverpoolLiverpool
6
2
3
1
+0
9
10
IpswichIpswich
6
3
0
3
-3
9
11
NewcastleNewcastle
6
2
2
2
-3
8
12
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
6
2
1
3
-3
7
13
Manchester UnitedManchester United
6
1
3
2
+0
6
14
CoventryCoventry
6
2
0
4
-6
6
15
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
6
1
2
3
-3
5
16
Aston VillaAston Villa
6
1
2
3
-5
5
17
SunderlandSunderland
6
1
1
4
-6
4
18
BournemouthBournemouth
6
0
3
3
-6
3
19
TottenhamTottenham
6
0
3
3
-6
3
20
FulhamFulham
6
0
2
4
-4
2