Winlytics.AI
Full time
Premier League (England)
·
Brentford
Brentford
4th · 9 pts·WDDDW
vs
Tottenham
Tottenham
20th · 2 pts·LLDDL
The story

De Zerbi era begins as Bees eye home dominance

A fresh season kicks off at the Gtech Community Stadium as Brentford look to build on their top-half finish against a Tottenham side entering a new era under Roberto De Zerbi.

Match news & current form

Brentford enter the 2026/27 campaign with stability under Keith Andrews, who led the Bees to a joint-highest ninth-place finish last season. They carry significant momentum into the opener following a dominant pre-season that featured a 7-0 thrashing of Eintracht Frankfurt and a 4-2 victory over Rennes. Currently 20th in the embryonic table, they have 38 games to secure their top-flight status once more.

Tottenham begin their first full season under Roberto De Zerbi after he successfully steered the club away from relegation danger in 2025/26. Spurs have overhauled their technical profile with the arrivals of Sandro Tonali and Mateus Fernandes, aiming to implement a high-possession style. They come into this fixture after a 2-2 draw with Hoffenheim and sit 11th with a full 38-game slate ahead to chase European qualification.

Head-to-head history

Historically, the Gtech Community Stadium has been a difficult ground for Spurs to navigate. Four of the last five Premier League meetings between these sides in west London have ended in draws, including two separate 2-2 results. While Tottenham took four points from the Bees last season, they have struggled to find a winning formula at this venue.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Four of the last five Premier League meetings at the Gtech Community Stadium have ended all square.
  • Sandro Tonali has a clinical record against Brentford, scoring three goals in his last five appearances against them.
  • Brentford are unbeaten in four of their last five matches, including high-scoring wins over Frankfurt and Rennes.
  • Tottenham avoided defeat in both league encounters against Brentford last season despite their lower league finish.
Key players & missing men

Brentford are expected to hand a debut to club-record signing Mamadou Sangare in a midfield three alongside Mathias Jensen and Vitaly Janelt. Igor Thiago is set to lead the line after a productive pre-season. For Tottenham, new signings Sandro Tonali, Conor Gallagher, and Mateus Fernandes are projected to start in a revamped midfield. Both squads report no major injury absences heading into the opening weekend.

No signal
The model didn’t surface a signal for this match. Browse the data below to form your own view.
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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Brentford vs Tottenham and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Brentford1.9
0.2Tottenham
Season average total: 2.08 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
0%
50%
50%
Brentford winDrawTottenham win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Tottenham
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Brentford
1837
Tottenham
1777

Brentford are the stronger side — 59 rating points clear of Tottenham.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

BrentfordBrentford
Goals scored
1.70
Expected (xG)
1.78
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
TottenhamTottenham
Goals scored
0.80
Expected (xG)
1.31
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

BrentfordBrentfordTottenhamTottenham
2.00Goals scored / game0.40
0.80Goals conceded / game1.60
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Brentford 5 games, Tottenham 5 games.

BrentfordBrentfordTottenhamTottenham
40%Games with a clean sheet40%
0%Games they failed to score80%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Brentford
3–0
Tottenham
Brentford
0–0
Tottenham
Tottenham
2–0
Brentford
Brentford
0–2
Tottenham
Tottenham
3–1
Brentford
Form check

Their recent form.

Brentford
Brentford
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
BrentfordvChelsea
3–0
W
BournemouthvBrentford
2–2
D
BrentfordvSunderland
1–1
D
LeedsvBrentford
1–1
D
BrentfordvTottenham
3–0
W
Tottenham
Tottenham
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
TottenhamvAston Villa
2–3
L
TottenhamvEverton
0–0
D
Nottingham ForestvTottenham
0–0
D
TottenhamvNewcastle
0–2
L
BrentfordvTottenham
3–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Manchester CityManchester City
5
5
0
0
+8
15
2
ArsenalArsenal
5
4
0
1
+4
12
3
BrightonBrighton
5
3
1
1
+11
10
4
BrentfordBrentford
5
2
3
0
+6
9
5
LeedsLeeds
5
2
3
0
+4
9
6
LiverpoolLiverpool
5
2
3
0
+3
9
7
EvertonEverton
5
2
3
0
+3
9
8
Hull CityHull City
5
2
2
1
+2
8
9
NewcastleNewcastle
5
2
2
1
+0
8
10
ChelseaChelsea
5
2
1
2
-2
7
11
IpswichIpswich
5
2
0
3
-4
6
12
Manchester UnitedManchester United
5
1
2
2
+0
5
13
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
5
1
2
2
-1
5
14
SunderlandSunderland
5
1
1
3
-4
4
15
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
5
1
1
3
-5
4
16
Aston VillaAston Villa
5
1
1
3
-5
4
17
BournemouthBournemouth
5
0
3
2
-2
3
18
CoventryCoventry
5
1
0
4
-9
3
19
FulhamFulham
5
0
2
3
-3
2
20
TottenhamTottenham
5
0
2
3
-6
2