Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 16h
Segunda División (Spain)
·
Burgos
Burgos
6th · 14 pts·DWWWL
vs
—
Granada CF
Granada CF
9th · 11 pts·LDLLW
The story

Burgos host Granada seeking response after away defeat

With just eight matches played, Burgos look to protect their spot in sixth while ninth-placed Granada aim to close a three-point gap at El Plantío.

Match news & current form

Burgos sit sixth on 14 points after eight games, making a solid early start to the campaign despite seeing their momentum checked by a 2-1 defeat at Almeria last time out. Manager Sergio Francisco has emphasised the need for composure and controlled possession at El Plantío, aiming to exploit the gaps Granada leave when committing bodies forward in transition.

Granada are ninth on 11 points after eight games and arrive on the back of an entertaining 3-2 away win against Real Sociedad II at Zubieta, halting a difficult sequence that included consecutive 3-2 defeats against FC Andorra and Leganes. Manager Jose Rojo 'Pacheta' faces several selection decisions across his lineup as his side look to string back-to-back league victories together.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between the two sides have been remarkably tight, with three of the last five encounters finishing level. Burgos took the spoils in their most recent clash with a 1-0 away victory in May 2026, following a 1-1 draw at El Plantío in September 2025 and a goalless stalemate in January 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Burgos are unbeaten in their last four meetings with Granada (W1, D3).
  • Granada have won just one of their last four matches in Segunda Division action.
  • Three of the last four head-to-head matches between these teams have ended in draws.
Key players & missing men

The hosts are expected to rely on the attacking presence of Curro Sanchez, David Gonzalez, and Jon Karrikaburu, backed by a fully available squad after an unnamed defender recently completed his recovery from a summer injury. Granada carry plenty of firepower through Jose Manuel Arnaiz alongside Owen Emeka and Manuel Lama, with neither club reporting any confirmed injury absences ahead of kickoff.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Burgos2.0
–
1.4Granada CF
Season average total: 3.45 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Burgos winDrawGranada CF win
Market call
Double chance : Burgos or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Burgos
1542
Granada CF
1461

Burgos are the stronger side — 81 rating points clear of Granada CF.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

BurgosBurgosGranada CFGranada CF
1.50Goals scored / game1.63
1.13Goals conceded / game1.63
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Burgos 8 games, Granada CF 8 games.

BurgosBurgosGranada CFGranada CF
25%Games with a clean sheet25%
25%Games they failed to score25%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Granada CF
0–1
Burgos
Burgos
1–1
Granada CF
Granada CF
0–0
Burgos
Burgos
2–2
Granada CF
Burgos
1–3
Granada CF
Form check

Their recent form.

Burgos
Burgos
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
AlmeriavBurgos
2–1
L
BurgosvEldense
1–0
W
Las PalmasvBurgos
1–2
W
BurgosvAD Ceuta FC
3–1
W
OviedovBurgos
0–0
D
Granada CF
Granada CF
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
Real Sociedad IIvGranada CF
2–3
W
Granada CFvFC Andorra
2–3
L
LeganesvGranada CF
3–2
L
Granada CFvAlbacete
1–1
D
EibarvGranada CF
3–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Segunda División (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
EibarEibar
8
7
0
1
+11
21
2
CastellónCastellón
8
6
2
0
+12
20
3
AlmeriaAlmeria
8
6
0
2
+8
18
4
GironaGirona
8
4
2
2
+6
14
5
MallorcaMallorca
8
4
2
2
+5
14
6
BurgosBurgos
8
4
2
2
+3
14
7
SabadellSabadell
8
3
4
1
+2
13
8
Sporting GijonSporting Gijon
8
4
1
3
+0
13
9
Granada CFGranada CF
8
3
2
3
+0
11
10
OviedoOviedo
8
3
2
3
+0
11
11
Las PalmasLas Palmas
8
3
2
3
-1
11
12
TenerifeTenerife
8
3
2
3
-2
11
13
LeganesLeganes
8
3
2
3
-5
11
14
ValladolidValladolid
8
2
3
3
-3
9
15
CordobaCordoba
8
3
0
5
-5
9
16
Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II
8
2
2
4
-2
8
17
EldenseEldense
8
2
2
4
-2
8
18
Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II
8
2
2
4
-4
8
19
CadizCadiz
8
1
4
3
+1
7
20
FC AndorraFC Andorra
8
2
1
5
-3
7
21
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
8
1
2
5
-11
5
22
AlbaceteAlbacete
8
0
1
7
-10
1