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Serie B (Italy)
·
Carrarese
Carrarese
20th · 1 pts·LDLLL
vs
Empoli
Empoli
13th · 6 pts·WLWLL
The story

Carrarese seek first win as Empoli eye European spots

Carrarese fight to climb away from the drop zone while Empoli sit just one point adrift of the European qualification places.

Match news & current form

Carrarese enter this fixture 14th in the table with just one point from their opening two matches, leaving them only a single point above the relegation zone. Manager Cioffi continues to deploy a 3-5-2 system but is still searching for his first victory of the campaign following a 1-1 draw at Ascoli and a narrow home defeat to Mantova.

Empoli occupy 11th place with three points, remaining firmly in the hunt for European contention with 36 games still to play. After an encouraging 1-0 opening win over Cremonese, their momentum was halted last time out by a 3-1 away defeat to Mantova, highlighting potential vulnerabilities when travelling.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Carrarese are looking to end a seven-match winless run in Serie B action.
  • Empoli have seen under 2.5 goals in six of their last seven league outings.
  • Carrarese have managed to find the net in both of their opening fixtures this season despite their winless start.
  • Empoli have averaged only 0.6 goals per game across their last five competitive matches.
Key players & missing men

Carrarese's left wing-back Rouhi, on loan from Juventus, has been a bright spark and is confirmed to start after already registering an assist this term. He supports an attacking duo of Cissè and Abiuso. Both squads report no fresh injury concerns, allowing both managers to field their strongest available lineups for this clash at the Stadio dei Marmi.

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We have published a signal on Carrarese vs Empoli — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Carrarese vs Empoli and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Carrarese1.0
1.2Empoli
Season average total: 2.17 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Carrarese winDrawEmpoli win
Market call
Double chance : Carrarese or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Carrarese
1386
Empoli
1423

Empoli are the stronger side — 37 rating points clear of Carrarese.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

CarrareseCarrareseEmpoliEmpoli
0.40Goals scored / game0.80
1.20Goals conceded / game1.20
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Carrarese 5 games, Empoli 5 games.

CarrareseCarrareseEmpoliEmpoli
0%Games with a clean sheet40%
60%Games they failed to score20%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Carrarese
0–1
Empoli
Carrarese
3–0
Empoli
Empoli
2–2
Carrarese
Empoli
Carrarese
Form check

Their recent form.

Carrarese
Carrarese
Losing form badly
Last 5
0W · 1D · 4L
CarraresevBenevento
0–1
L
CatanzarovCarrarese
1–0
L
CarraresevEmpoli
0–1
L
AscolivCarrarese
1–1
D
CarraresevMantova
1–2
L
Empoli
Empoli
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
ModenavEmpoli
2–1
L
EmpolivArezzo
0–1
L
CarraresevEmpoli
0–1
W
MantovavEmpoli
3–1
L
EmpolivCremonese
1–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie B (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
PalermoPalermo
5
4
1
0
+5
13
2
SudtirolSudtirol
5
3
2
0
+6
11
3
MantovaMantova
5
3
2
0
+5
11
4
ModenaModena
5
3
1
1
+4
10
5
AscoliAscoli
5
3
1
1
+3
10
6
PadovaPadova
5
2
1
2
-1
7
7
BeneventoBenevento
5
2
1
2
+1
7
8
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
5
2
1
2
+3
7
9
AvellinoAvellino
5
2
1
2
+1
7
10
CesenaCesena
5
1
4
0
+1
7
11
PisaPisa
5
2
1
2
+0
7
12
ArezzoArezzo
5
2
0
3
-7
6
13
EmpoliEmpoli
5
2
0
3
-2
6
14
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella
5
1
2
2
+1
5
15
CremoneseCremonese
5
1
2
2
-2
5
16
Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus
5
1
2
2
-3
5
17
SampdoriaSampdoria
5
1
1
3
-4
4
18
Juve StabiaJuve Stabia
5
1
2
2
-3
3
19
CatanzaroCatanzaro
5
1
0
4
-4
3
20
CarrareseCarrarese
5
0
1
4
-4
1