Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 18h
Serie B (Italy)
·
Carrarese
Carrarese
15th · 10 pts·WWLWL
vs
—
Sampdoria
Sampdoria
19th · 8 pts·LLDLW
The story

Carrarese host struggling Sampdoria at Stadio dei Marmi

With only 10 games played in Serie B, Carrarese aim to build on steady home form against a Sampdoria side finding their feet after a difficult start.

Match news & current form

Carrarese sit 15th on 10 points after 10 games, seeking an immediate response under Guido Pagliuca following a 3-0 defeat away at Hellas Verona. Before that trip, the Tuscan side had enjoyed good momentum, winning three of their previous four matches with 2-1 victories over Arezzo and Modena alongside a 2-0 away win at Padova.

Sampdoria sit 19th with eight points after 10 games, having experienced a slow opening phase to the campaign. The Blucerchiati did collect three vital points last time out with a 2-0 home victory over Virtus Entella, halting a three-game winless stretch that included a 2-0 defeat at Ascoli and a heavy 4-1 loss against Avellino.

Head-to-head history

Carrarese have dominated recent meetings on home soil, winning both of the last two clashes at Stadio dei Marmi without conceding: a 2-0 win on 18 March 2026 and a 1-0 triumph on 25 April 2025. Over the last four encounters between the sides, Carrarese have won twice, drawn once, and lost once.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Carrarese have won their last two home games against Sampdoria to nil.
  • Carrarese have taken victory in three of their last five league matches.
  • Sampdoria have suffered three defeats in their last five league fixtures.
Key players & missing men

Carrarese welcome Colin Dagba and Ante Vujevic back into full training, though forward Nicolas Bonfanti has continued working separately to complete his recovery. Fabio Abiuso is slated to start in attack alongside Rubino, supported by Tommaso Topalovic in Pagliuca's planned 3-4-1-2 setup.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Carrarese1.6
–
0.9Sampdoria
Season average total: 2.52 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Carrarese winDrawSampdoria win
Market call
Double chance : Carrarese or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Carrarese
1386
Sampdoria
1391

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

CarrareseCarrareseSampdoriaSampdoria
0.90Goals scored / game1.00
1.30Goals conceded / game1.80
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Carrarese 10 games, Sampdoria 10 games.

CarrareseCarrareseSampdoriaSampdoria
10%Games with a clean sheet10%
40%Games they failed to score20%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Carrarese
2–0
Sampdoria
Sampdoria
3–2
Carrarese
Carrarese
1–0
Sampdoria
Sampdoria
1–1
Carrarese
Form check

Their recent form.

Carrarese
Carrarese
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
Hellas VeronavCarrarese
3–0
L
CarraresevArezzo
2–1
W
PalermovCarrarese
2–1
L
CarraresevModena
2–1
W
PadovavCarrarese
0–2
W
Sampdoria
Sampdoria
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
SampdoriavVirtus Entella
2–0
W
AscolivSampdoria
2–0
L
SudtirolvSampdoria
1–1
D
SampdoriavArezzo
1–2
L
AvellinovSampdoria
4–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie B (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
PalermoPalermo
10
8
2
0
+12
26
2
ModenaModena
10
6
2
2
+8
20
3
AscoliAscoli
10
5
4
1
+10
19
4
MantovaMantova
10
5
3
2
+4
18
5
AvellinoAvellino
10
4
3
3
+5
15
6
BeneventoBenevento
10
4
3
3
+4
15
7
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
10
4
3
3
+6
15
8
PisaPisa
10
4
3
3
+3
15
9
PadovaPadova
10
4
2
4
-1
14
10
SudtirolSudtirol
10
3
5
2
+1
14
11
CremoneseCremonese
10
3
3
4
-1
12
12
CesenaCesena
10
2
6
2
-3
12
13
ArezzoArezzo
10
3
2
5
-10
11
14
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella
10
2
4
4
-1
10
15
CarrareseCarrarese
10
3
1
6
-4
10
16
Juve StabiaJuve Stabia
10
3
4
3
+0
9
17
Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus
10
2
3
5
-7
9
18
EmpoliEmpoli
10
2
2
6
-7
8
19
SampdoriaSampdoria
10
2
2
6
-8
8
20
CatanzaroCatanzaro
10
1
3
6
-11
6