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Segunda División (Spain)
·
Castellón
Castellón
1st · 16 pts·DWWWW
vs
—
Almeria
Almeria
4th · 12 pts·LLWWW
The story

Play-off spots secure as Castellon host Almeria

Castellon and Almeria wrap up their regular campaigns in a top-six battle, with both sides looking to carry momentum into the promotion play-offs.

Match news & current form

Castellon enter the final matchday sitting 6th on 72 points, currently holding a continental place with 0 to play. They head into this fixture following a 2-1 home victory over Eibar, marking a solid run of two wins and two draws from their last five league matches.

Almeria occupy 3rd on 74 points, also holding a continental place with 0 to play. They bounced back from consecutive defeats with a 1-0 win against Valladolid last time out, and will be keen to find consistent form before the promotion tournament begins.

Head-to-head history

Recent history between these two sides tilts slightly in the visitors' favour. Over their last five head-to-head meetings, Almeria have triumphed three times, while Castellon have taken the remaining two victories.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Almeria have won three of the last five meetings between the two clubs.
  • Castellon have been formidable at the Estadio Municipal Castalia, winning eight of their last ten home matches.
  • Almeria have shown explosive attacking power recently, highlighted by a 5-1 thrashing of Real Sociedad B.
Key players & missing men

Both managers will have full squads to choose from for this final league fixture, with no absences reported for either Castellon or Almeria. This clean bill of health allows both sides to test their strongest lineups ahead of the play-offs.

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Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Castellón vs Almeria — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Castellón vs Almeria and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Castellón1.5
–
0.3Almeria
Season average total: 1.83 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Castellón winDrawAlmeria win
Market call
Double chance : Castellón or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Castellón
1546
Almeria
1556

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

CastellónCastellónAlmeriaAlmeria
2.00Goals scored / game1.67
0.33Goals conceded / game0.67
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Castellón 6 games, Almeria 6 games.

CastellónCastellónAlmeriaAlmeria
67%Games with a clean sheet50%
17%Games they failed to score33%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Almeria
3–2
Castellón
Castellón
1–1
Almeria
Castellón
2–0
Almeria
Almeria
1–0
Castellón
Castellón
4–1
Almeria
Form check

Their recent form.

Castellón
Castellón
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 1D · 0L
CastellónvTenerife
5–0
W
GironavCastellón
1–2
W
CastellónvAlbacete
2–0
W
Celta de Vigo IIvCastellón
1–2
W
CastellónvSabadell
0–0
D
Almeria
Almeria
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
AlmeriavCelta de Vigo II
2–0
W
CordobavAlmeria
0–2
W
AlmeriavCadiz
3–2
W
SabadellvAlmeria
1–0
L
TenerifevAlmeria
1–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Segunda División (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
CastellónCastellón
6
5
1
0
+10
16
2
EibarEibar
6
5
0
1
+8
15
3
MallorcaMallorca
6
4
1
1
+6
13
4
AlmeriaAlmeria
6
4
0
2
+6
12
5
BurgosBurgos
6
3
2
1
+3
11
6
SabadellSabadell
6
3
2
1
+2
11
7
LeganesLeganes
6
3
2
1
+1
11
8
GironaGirona
6
3
1
2
+4
10
9
Sporting GijonSporting Gijon
6
3
1
2
+1
10
10
Las PalmasLas Palmas
6
3
1
2
+0
10
11
TenerifeTenerife
6
3
1
2
-1
10
12
Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II
6
2
2
2
+1
8
13
OviedoOviedo
6
2
2
2
+1
8
14
Granada CFGranada CF
6
2
2
2
+0
8
15
Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II
6
2
1
3
-3
7
16
CordobaCordoba
6
2
0
4
-4
6
17
EldenseEldense
6
1
2
3
-4
5
18
ValladolidValladolid
6
1
2
3
-5
5
19
CadizCadiz
6
0
3
3
-3
3
20
FC AndorraFC Andorra
6
1
0
5
-4
3
21
AlbaceteAlbacete
6
0
1
5
-6
1
22
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
6
0
1
5
-13
1