Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 16h
Serie B (Italy)
·
Catanzaro
Catanzaro
18th · 3 pts·LLLWL
vs
—
Mantova
Mantova
3rd · 11 pts·WWDWD
The story

Catanzaro host unbeaten Mantova seeking second league win

Catanzaro look to convert recent head-to-head supremacy into much-needed momentum when they welcome high-flying Mantova to the Stadio Nicola Ceravolo.

Match news & current form

Catanzaro sit 18th with three points after five games, having experienced a slow start to the Serie B campaign. Giorgio Gorgone's side fell to a 2-1 defeat at Sampdoria last time out and have lost four of their five matches, but their sole victory of the campaign came on home turf in a 1-0 win over Carrarese.

Mantova occupy third place on 11 points after five games following an impressive, unbeaten start to the season. They were held to a 2-2 home draw against Pisa in their previous outing, though prior away victories include a 2-1 win at Carrarese and a 1-1 draw at Cesena.

Head-to-head history

Catanzaro have held the upper hand across recent clashes, remaining unbeaten in the last four meetings. They won the most recent encounter 2-0 in February 2026, following a 3-1 away win in October 2025 and earlier draws of 0-0 and 2-2.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Catanzaro are unbeaten in their last four meetings with Mantova (W2 D2).
  • Catanzaro have won the last two head-to-head fixtures by aggregate scores of 5-1.
  • Mantova are unbeaten in their opening five Serie B fixtures (W3 D2).
Key players & missing men

Pietro Iemmello is expected to lead the line for Catanzaro supported by Simone Pafundi, while Mantova rely on Ettore Gliozzi in attack alongside Ruocco. Neither club has reported any major injuries or suspensions heading into the clash.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Catanzaro vs Mantova — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Catanzaro vs Mantova and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Catanzaro1.0
–
0.8Mantova
Season average total: 1.75 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Catanzaro winDrawMantova win
Market call
Double chance : Catanzaro or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Catanzaro
1459
Mantova
1400

Catanzaro are the stronger side — 59 rating points clear of Mantova.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

CatanzaroCatanzaroMantovaMantova
1.00Goals scored / game2.00
1.80Goals conceded / game1.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Catanzaro 5 games, Mantova 5 games.

CatanzaroCatanzaroMantovaMantova
20%Games with a clean sheet20%
20%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Catanzaro
2–0
Mantova
Mantova
1–3
Catanzaro
Mantova
0–0
Catanzaro
Catanzaro
2–2
Mantova
Form check

Their recent form.

Catanzaro
Catanzaro
Losing form badly
Last 5
1W · 0D · 4L
SampdoriavCatanzaro
2–1
L
CatanzarovCarrarese
1–0
W
SudtirolvCatanzaro
2–0
L
PisavCatanzaro
2–1
L
Vicenza VirtusvCatanzaro
3–2
L
Mantova
Mantova
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 2D · 0L
MantovavPisa
2–2
D
MantovavSampdoria
2–0
W
CesenavMantova
1–1
D
MantovavEmpoli
3–1
W
CarraresevMantova
1–2
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie B (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
PalermoPalermo
5
4
1
0
+5
13
2
SudtirolSudtirol
5
3
2
0
+6
11
3
MantovaMantova
5
3
2
0
+5
11
4
ModenaModena
5
3
1
1
+4
10
5
AscoliAscoli
5
3
1
1
+3
10
6
PadovaPadova
5
2
1
2
-1
7
7
BeneventoBenevento
5
2
1
2
+1
7
8
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
5
2
1
2
+3
7
9
AvellinoAvellino
5
2
1
2
+1
7
10
CesenaCesena
5
1
4
0
+1
7
11
PisaPisa
5
2
1
2
+0
7
12
ArezzoArezzo
5
2
0
3
-7
6
13
EmpoliEmpoli
5
2
0
3
-2
6
14
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella
5
1
2
2
+1
5
15
CremoneseCremonese
5
1
2
2
-2
5
16
Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus
5
1
2
2
-3
5
17
SampdoriaSampdoria
5
1
1
3
-4
4
18
CatanzaroCatanzaro
5
1
0
4
-4
3
19
Juve StabiaJuve Stabia
5
1
2
2
-3
1
20
CarrareseCarrarese
5
0
1
4
-4
1