A high-stakes promotion clash sees third-placed Monza travel to the Stadio Nicola Ceravolo to face a formidable Catanzaro side.
Catanzaro enter this fixture sitting 5th on 59 points, looking to bounce back from a 2-0 away defeat to Palermo. Alberto Aquilani’s side has been Jekyll and Hyde recently, recording two wins and three losses in their last five, but they remain a different beast on home soil where they have not tasted defeat in ten outings.
Monza occupy 3rd place with 76 points and arrive with momentum after a 2-1 victory over Juve Stabia. They have proven resilient throughout the campaign, losing only one of their last five matches. The visitors have developed a reputation for persistence, having successfully overturned a deficit to earn points in five matches where they conceded the opening goal.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Monza are the stronger side — 85 rating points clear of Catanzaro.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Catanzaro 5 games, Monza — games.
Serie B (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.