Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 19h
Serie B (Italy)
·
Catanzaro
Catanzaro
20th · 5 pts·LLDLD
vs
—
Padova
Padova
7th · 13 pts·LLLWW
The story

Catanzaro host Padova seeking first win under Mignani

Catanzaro seek a desperately needed lift at home after a slow start, while seventh-placed Padova aim to build on consecutive wins in their pursuit of promotion play-off standing.

Match news & current form

Catanzaro sit 20th with five points after nine games, having had a slow start to the campaign. With only nine matches played and 29 remaining, they are still finding their feet, though recent results have shown defensive frailties following heavy home defeats like the 6-1 loss against Ascoli. Following the dismissal of Gorgone, new coach Mignani took the reins and stabilized proceedings slightly with a 1-1 draw at Benevento in the midweek round.

Padova sit seventh with 13 points after nine games, occupying a spot that would lead to the promotion play-offs. After a brief wobble involving consecutive home defeats to Carrarese and Virtus Entella, the Biancoscudati have produced strong momentum, securing back-to-back victories with a 1-0 away win at Avellino followed by a 2-0 home triumph against Sudtirol.

Head-to-head history

The most recent encounter between the two clubs came in March 2026, when Catanzaro secured a 3-1 away win at Padova. Prior to that, Padova took a 1-0 victory at Catanzaro in October 2025, having also edged a tight play-off clash 2-1 in May 2022 following a 0-0 draw in the reverse fixture.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Catanzaro have both scored and conceded in each of their last five matches in all competitions.
  • Padova have won two consecutive league matches without conceding a goal.
  • Three of Catanzaro's last five home fixtures have produced four or more total goals.
  • Catanzaro won the last meeting between the clubs 3-1 away from home in March 2026.
Key players & missing men

Neither side has reported any fresh injury or suspension concerns ahead of kickoff. Mignani is expected to persist with Catanzaro's 3-4-2-1 structure as he implements his tactical ideas, while Padova arrive with a clean bill of health following their shutout victory against Sudtirol.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Catanzaro1.1
–
2.0Padova
Season average total: 3.13 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Catanzaro winDrawPadova win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Padova
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Catanzaro
1459
Padova
1365

Catanzaro are the stronger side — 93 rating points clear of Padova.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

CatanzaroCatanzaroPadovaPadova
1.11Goals scored / game1.00
2.33Goals conceded / game1.11
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Catanzaro 9 games, Padova 9 games.

CatanzaroCatanzaroPadovaPadova
11%Games with a clean sheet44%
11%Games they failed to score11%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Padova
1–3
Catanzaro
Catanzaro
0–1
Padova
Padova
2–1
Catanzaro
Catanzaro
0–0
Padova
Catanzaro
0–1
Padova
Form check

Their recent form.

Catanzaro
Catanzaro
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
BeneventovCatanzaro
1–1
D
CatanzarovAscoli
1–6
L
Hellas VeronavCatanzaro
2–2
D
CatanzarovMantova
1–3
L
SampdoriavCatanzaro
2–1
L
Padova
Padova
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
PadovavSudtirol
2–0
W
AvellinovPadova
0–1
W
PadovavVirtus Entella
1–2
L
PadovavCarrarese
0–2
L
PalermovPadova
2–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie B (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
PalermoPalermo
8
7
1
0
+10
22
2
ModenaModena
9
6
1
2
+8
19
3
AscoliAscoli
9
5
3
1
+10
18
4
MantovaMantova
9
5
2
2
+4
17
5
BeneventoBenevento
9
4
3
2
+6
15
6
PisaPisa
8
4
2
2
+5
14
7
PadovaPadova
9
4
1
4
-1
13
8
SudtirolSudtirol
9
3
4
2
+1
13
9
AvellinoAvellino
9
3
3
3
+3
12
10
CesenaCesena
9
2
5
2
-3
11
11
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella
9
2
4
3
+1
10
12
ArezzoArezzo
8
3
1
4
-9
10
13
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
8
2
3
3
+2
9
14
CremoneseCremonese
9
2
3
4
-3
9
15
Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus
9
2
3
4
-5
9
16
Juve StabiaJuve Stabia
8
3
3
2
+1
8
17
EmpoliEmpoli
9
2
1
6
-7
7
18
CarrareseCarrarese
8
2
1
5
-2
7
19
SampdoriaSampdoria
9
1
2
6
-10
5
20
CatanzaroCatanzaro
9
1
2
6
-11
5