Catanzaro seek a desperately needed lift at home after a slow start, while seventh-placed Padova aim to build on consecutive wins in their pursuit of promotion play-off standing.
Catanzaro sit 20th with five points after nine games, having had a slow start to the campaign. With only nine matches played and 29 remaining, they are still finding their feet, though recent results have shown defensive frailties following heavy home defeats like the 6-1 loss against Ascoli. Following the dismissal of Gorgone, new coach Mignani took the reins and stabilized proceedings slightly with a 1-1 draw at Benevento in the midweek round.
Padova sit seventh with 13 points after nine games, occupying a spot that would lead to the promotion play-offs. After a brief wobble involving consecutive home defeats to Carrarese and Virtus Entella, the Biancoscudati have produced strong momentum, securing back-to-back victories with a 1-0 away win at Avellino followed by a 2-0 home triumph against Sudtirol.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Catanzaro are the stronger side — 93 rating points clear of Padova.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Catanzaro 9 games, Padova 9 games.
Serie B (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.