Winlytics.AI
Full time
Canadian Premier League (Canada)
·
Cavalry FC
Cavalry FC
1st · 50 pts·WWWWD
vs
Forge
Forge
2nd · 46 pts·WLDWD
The story

Title race on the line as league giants collide

A top-of-the-table clash sees second-place Cavalry FC host leaders Forge with the winner set to take control of the Canadian Premier League title race.

Match news & current form

Cavalry FC enter this fixture in second place on 34 points, knowing a victory would move them to the summit. Tommy Wheeldon Jr’s side have shown resilience recently, losing just once in their last five outings, though they were held to a 1-1 draw by Supra du Quebec in their most recent away trip. They return to Alberta looking to replicate the clinical form shown in their last home match, a 5-0 demolition of York United.

Forge sit top of the table on 35 points and arrive in blistering form. Bobby Smyrniotis has led his side to six consecutive league victories, including a recent 1-0 away win against Vancouver FC secured by a Mo Babouli header. The Hammers have been defensively resolute throughout August, conceding only a single goal during their current winning streak as they chase a league-record seventh straight win.

Head-to-head history

This is the third meeting between the sides this season, with Forge winning 1-0 on opening day and the teams playing out a 1-1 draw in May. While Forge have dominated recent encounters in Hamilton, they return to the site of last year's CPL Final defeat in Alberta, where Cavalry historically thrive in high-stakes matches against the Hammers.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Forge are one win away from tying the CPL record of seven consecutive victories, currently held by Cavalry.
  • The Hammers have won all four of their league matches played in August so far.
  • Cavalry FC have lost only one of their last five matches as they look to defend their championship status.
  • Forge have conceded just one goal across their last four league fixtures.
Key players & missing men

Forge are monitoring the fitness of captain Kyle Bekker and Nana Ampomah; Bekker has been limited to substitute appearances recently while Ampomah is yet to feature. Mo Babouli remains the danger man for the visitors following his match-winner last week. Cavalry will likely be without Maël Henry, who is expected to miss out following a youth team stint after returning from international training.

No signal
The model didn’t surface a signal for this match. Browse the data below to form your own view.
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Cavalry FC1.5
1.1Forge
Season average total: 2.64 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Cavalry FC winDrawForge win
Market call
Double chance : Cavalry FC or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Cavalry FCCavalry FCForgeForge
1.91Goals scored / game1.55
0.59Goals conceded / game0.73
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Cavalry FC 22 games, Forge 22 games.

Cavalry FCCavalry FCForgeForge
41%Games with a clean sheet45%
14%Games they failed to score18%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Cavalry FC
1–1
Forge
Cavalry FC
2–1
Forge
Forge
1–0
Cavalry FC
Forge
0–0
Cavalry FC
Forge
0–1
Cavalry FC
Form check

Their recent form.

Cavalry FC
Cavalry FC
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 1D · 0L
Cavalry FCvForge
1–1
D
Pacific FCvCavalry FC
0–1
W
HFX Wanderers FCvCavalry FC
1–3
W
Cavalry FCvVancouver FC
1–0
W
Cavalry FCvAtlético Ottawa
3–1
W
Forge
Forge
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Cavalry FCvForge
1–1
D
ForgevAtlético Ottawa
3–0
W
ForgevYork United
1–1
D
Supra du QuebecvForge
1–0
L
ForgevPacific FC
2–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Canadian Premier League (Canada) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Cavalry FCCavalry FC
22
15
5
2
+29
50
2
ForgeForge
22
14
4
4
+18
46
3
Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
23
10
4
9
-5
34
4
Vancouver FCVancouver FC
23
9
4
10
+2
31
5
HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC
23
7
5
11
-3
26
6
Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec
22
7
4
11
-7
25
7
York UnitedYork United
21
5
8
8
-16
23
8
Pacific FCPacific FC
22
1
8
13
-18
11