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La Liga (Spain)
·
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
14th · 7 pts·LDDDW
vs
Osasuna
Osasuna
13th · 8 pts·WLLLD
The story

Early relegation battle looms as Celta host Osasuna

Both sides look to ignite their seasons at Estadio Balaídos after opening with stalemate results.

Match news & current form

Celta Vigo enter this fixture in 12th place with one point, technically sitting inside the early relegation zone with 37 games left to secure their top-flight status. Claudio Giráldez’s men started their campaign with a disciplined but quiet 0-0 draw away at Valencia. Giráldez has a balanced record against Osasuna, having recorded two wins and two defeats in his four previous encounters with the club.

Osasuna sit 11th on one point, just two points off the European places at this embryonic stage of the season. They also come into this match following a 0-0 draw, having failed to break down Levante at home. The visitors will be relying on the tactical setup of their management to overcome the difficulties of playing away from home, where they have historically struggled to dominate possession.

Head-to-head history

Celta Vigo hold the historical advantage in this matchup, winning 38 of the 80 total meetings between the two clubs. In La Liga specifically, the sides have met 54 times, with Celta claiming 25 victories compared to 19 for Osasuna. Recent form for the hosts has been characterized by resilience, with Celta securing three draws in their last five matches across all competitions.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Ferran Jutgla has been prolific at Estadio Balaídos, netting four goals in his last five La Liga home appearances.
  • Celta Vigo have won 25 of the 54 top-flight meetings between these two sides.
  • Osasuna’s Ante Budimir remains a major threat despite the recent blank, having registered four shots in his last outing.
  • Claudio Giráldez has never drawn against Osasuna in his managerial career, split evenly between wins and losses.
Key players & missing men

Celta Vigo will look to Sergio Carreira to control the right flank and provide the creative spark that was missing in their opener. Ferran Jutgla is the man to watch for the hosts, given his recent scoring streak at home. Osasuna will lean heavily on 35-year-old striker Ante Budimir to lead the line. Regarding absences, Osasuna are expected to be without V. Rosier and R. Moro, while Celta Vigo have no new reported injury concerns following their trip to Valencia.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Celta Vigo2.5
1.3Osasuna
Season average total: 3.83 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
50%
50%
0%
Celta Vigo winDrawOsasuna win
Market call
Double chance : Celta Vigo or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Celta Vigo
1701
Osasuna
1650

Celta Vigo are the stronger side — 51 rating points clear of Osasuna.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

Celta VigoCelta Vigo
Goals scored
1.20
Expected (xG)
1.15
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
OsasunaOsasuna
Goals scored
0.80
Expected (xG)
1.39
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Celta VigoCelta VigoOsasunaOsasuna
1.14Goals scored / game0.86
0.86Goals conceded / game1.86
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Celta Vigo 7 games, Osasuna 7 games.

Celta VigoCelta VigoOsasunaOsasuna
43%Games with a clean sheet29%
43%Games they failed to score43%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Celta Vigo
1–2
Osasuna
Celta Vigo
1–2
Osasuna
Osasuna
2–3
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
1–0
Osasuna
Osasuna
3–2
Celta Vigo
Form check

Their recent form.

Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 3D · 1L
Celta VigovRacing Santander
5–0
W
Celta VigovMalaga
1–1
D
GetafevCelta Vigo
1–1
D
Real SociedadvCelta Vigo
0–0
D
Celta VigovAthletic Club
0–2
L
Osasuna
Osasuna
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
OsasunavRayo Vallecano
1–1
D
Atletico MadridvOsasuna
4–0
L
OsasunavEspanyol
0–2
L
AlavesvOsasuna
5–2
L
OsasunavGetafe
1–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

La Liga (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
BarcelonaBarcelona
7
7
0
0
+24
21
2
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
7
5
1
1
+9
16
3
Real BetisReal Betis
7
5
1
1
+2
16
4
Real MadridReal Madrid
7
5
0
2
+10
15
5
SevillaSevilla
7
4
1
2
+1
13
6
AlavesAlaves
7
3
2
2
+5
11
7
Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna
7
2
4
1
+2
10
8
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
7
3
1
3
-4
10
9
VillarrealVillarreal
7
2
2
3
+1
8
10
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
6
2
2
2
+1
8
11
GetafeGetafe
7
2
2
3
-3
8
12
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
7
2
2
3
-5
8
13
OsasunaOsasuna
7
2
2
3
-7
8
14
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
7
1
4
2
+2
7
15
EspanyolEspanyol
7
2
1
4
+0
7
16
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
7
2
1
4
-10
7
17
LevanteLevante
6
1
2
3
-4
5
18
ElcheElche
7
1
2
4
-6
5
19
ValenciaValencia
7
1
1
5
-9
4
20
MalagaMalaga
7
0
3
4
-9
3