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Pro League (Belgium)
·
Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge
17th · 3 pts·LLLDL
vs
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
11th · 8 pts·WLWLL
The story

Early Season Stakes as Cercle Host Ambitious Sint-Truiden

Both sides sit locked on one point, looking to ignite their European ambitions under the Friday night lights at the Jan Breydel Stadion.

Match news & current form

Cercle Brugge enter this fixture following a 2-2 draw away at Standard Liege, a result that displayed their fighting spirit but also highlighted defensive frailties. Currently eighth in the standings, the Green and Blacks are desperate to improve on a disappointing 2025/26 campaign where they were forced into a relegation battle, eventually finishing fourteenth.

Sint-Truiden arrive in Brugge after a 1-1 draw against Lommel United. The visitors were the surprise package of last season, with only Royale Union and Club Brugge collecting more points. Managerial stability and a dangerous attacking unit have kept them competitive, and they currently sit 11th, trailing the European places by just two points with 33 games remaining.

Head-to-head history

Sint-Truiden have held the upper hand in recent meetings, winning three of the last six encounters, including a victory as recently as March. While Cercle Brugge have historically won five of the last nine meetings at home, the momentum has shifted toward the visitors in the last two seasons.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Cercle Brugge have conceded at least two goals in six of their last seven league matches.
  • High-scoring affairs are the norm for the hosts; 13 of Cercle's last 14 games have featured three or more goals.
  • Sint-Truiden have found the net in seven of their last eight competitive fixtures.
  • The last ten encounters between these two sides have averaged a high 2.90 goals per game.
Key players & missing men

Steve Ngoura is the man in form for Cercle Brugge, having netted two goals in his last five home appearances. He is expected to lead the line alongside Vanzeir. Sint-Truiden will look to the creative Ilias Sebaoui and the finishing of Frederic Soelle Soelle to exploit a vulnerable home defence. Both squads report no fresh injury concerns, allowing for full-strength lineups.

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We have published a signal on Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Cercle Brugge1.5
2.3St. Truiden
Season average total: 3.83 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Cercle Brugge winDrawSt. Truiden win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or St. Truiden
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Cercle Brugge
1446
St. Truiden
1555

St. Truiden are the stronger side — 109 rating points clear of Cercle Brugge.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Cercle BruggeCercle BruggeSt. TruidenSt. Truiden
1.14Goals scored / game1.71
2.00Goals conceded / game1.71
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Cercle Brugge 7 games, St. Truiden 7 games.

Cercle BruggeCercle BruggeSt. TruidenSt. Truiden
0%Games with a clean sheet14%
43%Games they failed to score43%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Cercle Brugge
3–3
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
2–1
Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge
1–1
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
3–1
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
3–1
Cercle Brugge
Form check

Their recent form.

Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge
Losing form badly
Last 5
0W · 1D · 4L
CharleroivCercle Brugge
3–2
L
OH LeuvenvCercle Brugge
1–1
D
Cercle BruggevGent
0–3
L
Cercle BruggevLommel United
0–1
L
Club Brugge KVvCercle Brugge
1–0
L
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
St. TruidenvKVC Westerlo
0–2
L
SK BeverenvSt. Truiden
2–0
L
St. TruidenvRAAL La Louvière
4–0
W
St. TruidenvUnion St. Gilloise
0–3
L
AntwerpvSt. Truiden
1–4
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Pro League (Belgium) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
7
6
1
0
+18
19
2
GentGent
7
6
1
0
+9
19
3
Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
7
6
0
1
+12
18
4
CharleroiCharleroi
7
6
0
1
+8
18
5
AnderlechtAnderlecht
7
4
1
2
+2
13
6
Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem
7
3
2
2
+3
11
7
Standard LiegeStandard Liege
7
3
2
2
+1
11
8
KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
7
3
1
3
-1
10
9
SK BeverenSK Beveren
7
3
0
4
-4
9
10
GenkGenk
7
2
3
2
+1
9
11
St. TruidenSt. Truiden
7
2
2
3
+0
8
12
Lommel UnitedLommel United
7
2
2
3
-2
8
13
AntwerpAntwerp
7
2
1
4
-4
7
14
RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière
7
1
1
5
-7
4
15
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
7
1
1
5
-8
4
16
KortrijkKortrijk
7
1
0
6
-13
3
17
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
7
0
3
4
-6
3
18
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
7
0
3
4
-9
3