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Serie B (Italy)
·
Cesena
Cesena
10th · 7 pts·DWDDD
vs
Mantova
Mantova
3rd · 11 pts·WLDWD
The story

Unbeaten starts collide as Cesena host high-flying Mantova

Two of Serie B’s early pace-setters meet at the Orogel Stadium as second-placed Mantova look to maintain their perfect start against a Cesena side sitting fourth.

Match news & current form

Cesena enter this fixture in 4th place with four points, currently occupying a continental qualification spot with 36 games remaining. They secured a vital 2-1 away win against Virtus Entella last time out, following a 1-1 draw with Sampdoria. Managerial stability and a 4-1-4-1 system have seen them remain unbeaten in the opening two rounds.

Mantova arrive as the league's joint-best attack, sitting 2nd and firmly in the title race with maximum points from their first two matches. After a convincing 3-1 victory over Empoli and a 2-1 win at Carrarese, they travel with momentum, though they must sharpen up defensively after conceding five goals in a recent high-scoring cup clash against Palermo.

Head-to-head history

History heavily favours the home side in this match-up. Cesena have won four of the last six meetings between these two clubs, including three consecutive home victories in all competitions. The sides have not shared the points in a league fixture since the 2020/21 season.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Cesena forward Shpendi has found the net in each of the opening two Serie B fixtures.
  • Mantova's last 13 matches across all competitions have all featured at least one second-half goal.
  • There have been over 2.5 goals scored in each of the last six meetings between Cesena and Mantova.
  • Mantova have seen at least one first-half goal in each of their last 11 away matches in Serie B.
  • Cesena have scored in every league game this season but have also seen three of their last 12 Serie B matches end 0-0.
Key players & missing men

All eyes are on Cesena's Shpendi, who is looking to extend his scoring streak to three consecutive games. Both squads are currently reporting clean bills of health with no major absences or suspensions listed, allowing both managers to field their strongest lineups for this early-season promotion scrap.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Cesena1.2
1.4Mantova
Season average total: 2.58 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Cesena winDrawMantova win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Mantova
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Cesena
1366
Mantova
1400

Mantova are the stronger side — 34 rating points clear of Cesena.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

CesenaCesenaMantovaMantova
1.40Goals scored / game2.00
1.20Goals conceded / game1.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Cesena 5 games, Mantova 5 games.

CesenaCesenaMantovaMantova
0%Games with a clean sheet20%
0%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

No prior meetings on record.

Form check

Their recent form.

Cesena
Cesena
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 4D · 0L
Juve StabiavCesena
1–1
D
CesenavCremonese
2–2
D
CesenavMantova
1–1
D
Virtus EntellavCesena
1–2
W
CesenavSampdoria
1–1
D
Mantova
Mantova
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
MantovavPisa
2–2
D
MantovavSampdoria
2–0
W
CesenavMantova
1–1
D
PalermovMantova
5–2
L
MantovavEmpoli
3–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie B (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
PalermoPalermo
5
4
1
0
+5
13
2
SudtirolSudtirol
5
3
2
0
+6
11
3
MantovaMantova
5
3
2
0
+5
11
4
ModenaModena
5
3
1
1
+4
10
5
AscoliAscoli
5
3
1
1
+3
10
6
PadovaPadova
5
2
1
2
-1
7
7
BeneventoBenevento
5
2
1
2
+1
7
8
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
5
2
1
2
+3
7
9
AvellinoAvellino
5
2
1
2
+1
7
10
CesenaCesena
5
1
4
0
+1
7
11
PisaPisa
5
2
1
2
+0
7
12
ArezzoArezzo
5
2
0
3
-7
6
13
EmpoliEmpoli
5
2
0
3
-2
6
14
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella
5
1
2
2
+1
5
15
CremoneseCremonese
5
1
2
2
-2
5
16
Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus
5
1
2
2
-3
5
17
SampdoriaSampdoria
5
1
1
3
-4
4
18
Juve StabiaJuve Stabia
5
1
2
2
-3
3
19
CatanzaroCatanzaro
5
1
0
4
-4
3
20
CarrareseCarrarese
5
0
1
4
-4
1